QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Coventry City vs Tottenham Hotspur?

The Onside model makes Coventry City the more likely winner of Coventry City vs Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 36: Coventry City 37%, draw 27%, Tottenham Hotspur 36%. The score pick is Coventry City 12 Tottenham Hotspur, and the single most probable scoreline is 11. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

COV goals down, TOT goals across

COVTOT 0TOT 1TOT 2TOT 3TOT 4TOT 5
COV 06.1%6.9%7.0%4.0%1.7%0.6%
COV 15.1%12.2%9.3%5.3%2.3%0.8%
COV 24.2%7.2%6.2%3.5%1.5%0.5%
COV 31.9%3.2%2.7%1.6%0.7%0.2%
COV 40.6%1.1%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.1%
COV 50.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.1%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (11); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.1%.

Sat 15 May · 15:00 UK · GW36 · model pl-dc-v2

Coventry City v Tottenham Hotspur

Onside's model gives Coventry City a 37% chance of beating Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 36, with 27% on the draw and 36% on an away win. The score prediction is Coventry City 12 Tottenham Hotspur, from expected goals of 1.33 to 1.71. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.

Coventry City
37%
Draw
27%
Tottenham Hotspur
36%
Model pick: 12 · most probable 11
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SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.331.71
★ MODE
11
12.2%
12
9.3%
21
7.2%
02
7.0%
01
6.9%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
58%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
61%

Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Coventry City
Attack ranks #20 and defence #19 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.11 on goal rate.
Tottenham Hotspur
Attack ranks #9, defence #12. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.331.71.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).

All predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
More GW36 predictions
Coventry City vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction — GW36 Score