Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
NFO goals down, CHE goals across
| NFO ↓ | CHE 0 | CHE 1 | CHE 2 | CHE 3 | CHE 4 | CHE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFO 0 | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| NFO 1 | 4.7% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| NFO 2 | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| NFO 3 | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| NFO 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| NFO 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.1%.
Nottingham Forest v Chelsea
Onside's model gives Nottingham Forest a 34% chance of beating Chelsea in Gameweek 12, with 28% on the draw and 38% on an away win. The score prediction is Nottingham Forest 1–2 Chelsea, from expected goals of 1.17 to 1.79. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).