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Can Japan reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

Onside's model gives Japan a 100% chance to reach the new Round of 32 from Group F. Japan have qualified for the Round of 32.
★ GROUP F · LIVE MODEL · UPDATED AFTER EVERY MATCH

Can Japan reach the Round of 32?

% TO R32
100%
% TO LIFT TROPHY
0.3%
● WHAT JAPAN NEED

Japan have qualified for the Round of 32.

POS
2nd
PTS
5
P
3
GD
+4
● GROUP F TABLE
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands3210+67
2Japan3120+45
3Sweden3111+04
4Tunisia3003-100
● DEEPER ON JAPAN
JAPAN FAQ
+Can Japan qualify from Group F at the 2026 World Cup?

Onside's model gives Japan a 100% chance to reach the Round of 32 from Group F. Japan have qualified for the Round of 32.

+What does Japan need to reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

Japan have qualified for the Round of 32.

+When does Japan play next at the World Cup 2026?

Japan have completed their Group F fixtures. They will play in the Round of 32 from 28 June.

+Can Japan win the World Cup 2026?

Onside's model gives Japan a 0.3% chance to lift the trophy. Full champion-pick reasoning at /world-cup-2026/can-x-win/jpn.

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