QUICK ANSWER

Can Sweden reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

Onside's model gives Sweden a 96% chance to reach the new Round of 32 from Group F. Sweden are 1st in Group F on 3 points with 2 games left. A win takes them closer to top 2; a defeat opens the door to the chasing pack.
★ GROUP F · LIVE MODEL · UPDATED AFTER EVERY MATCH

Can Sweden reach the Round of 32?

% TO R32
96%
% TO LIFT TROPHY
0.0%
● WHAT SWEDEN NEED

Sweden are 1st in Group F on 3 points with 2 games left. A win takes them closer to top 2; a defeat opens the door to the chasing pack.

POS
1st
PTS
3
P
1
GD
+4
● GROUP F TABLE
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sweden1100+43
2Netherlands1010+01
3Japan1010+01
4Tunisia1001-40
SWEDEN'S REMAINING GROUP GAMES
● DEEPER ON SWEDEN
SWEDEN FAQ
+Can Sweden qualify from Group F at the 2026 World Cup?

Onside's model gives Sweden a 96% chance to reach the Round of 32 from Group F. Sweden are 1st in Group F on 3 points with 2 games left. A win takes them closer to top 2; a defeat opens the door to the chasing pack.

+What does Sweden need to reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

Sweden are 1st in Group F on 3 points with 2 games left. A win takes them closer to top 2; a defeat opens the door to the chasing pack.

+When does Sweden play next at the World Cup 2026?

Sweden's next match is Netherlands on Saturday 20 June at 17:00 UTC in Houston.

+Can Sweden win the World Cup 2026?

Onside's model gives Sweden a 0.0% chance to lift the trophy. Full champion-pick reasoning at /world-cup-2026/can-x-win/swe.

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