CHAMPION PROBABILITY · WC 2026 · UPDATED HOURLY

Can Sweden win the World Cup 2026?

ONSIDE AI · VERDICT

UNLIKELY — tournament far too open. Onside's 2,000-run Monte Carlo gives Sweden a 0.0% champion probability — ranked #38 of 48 nations. Sweden is a long-shot (FIFA #38, 6 Premier League players in the squad).

🇸🇪SwedenGroup FFIFA #38UEFA

Sweden's path to the final

REACH R16
16.1%
REACH QF
3.9%
REACH SF
0.5%
REACH FINAL
0.1%
CHAMPION
0.0%

Sweden's group fixtures

3 GROUP MATCHES · MODEL WIN PROBABILITY

Sweden vs the field

TOP CHAMPION-PROBABILITY RIVALS

Sweden's Premier League players

6 PL PLAYERS IN THE SQUAD

Alexander IsakViktor GyökeresAnthony ElangaLucas BergvallYasin AyariVictor Lindelöf

In one line

Sweden is a long shot to win the 2026 World Cup — Onside's AI model gives them 0.0% champion probability, ranking them #38 of 48 nations. They play in Group F and have 6 Premier League players in their squad. Group-stage survival itself is uncertain (16.1% R16).

Full champion-probability board →Sweden team pageUpset watchlist →Build your own bracket →
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