CHAMPION PROBABILITY · WC 2026 · UPDATED HOURLY

Can Argentina win the World Cup 2026?

ONSIDE AI · VERDICT

POSSIBLE — outside shot. Onside's 2,000-run Monte Carlo gives Argentina a 9.3% champion probability — ranked #4 of 48 nations. Argentina is a top-tier favourite (FIFA #3, 5 Premier League players in the squad).

🇦🇷ArgentinaGroup JFIFA #3CONMEBOL

Argentina's path to the final

REACH R16
70.9%
REACH QF
45.0%
REACH SF
28.5%
REACH FINAL
17.0%
CHAMPION
9.3%

Argentina's group fixtures

3 GROUP MATCHES · MODEL WIN PROBABILITY

Argentina vs the field

TOP CHAMPION-PROBABILITY RIVALS

Argentina's Premier League players

5 PL PLAYERS IN THE SQUAD

Emiliano MartínezLisandro MartínezCristian RomeroEnzo FernándezAlexis Mac Allister

In one line

Argentina has a credible outside shot to win the 2026 World Cup — Onside's AI model gives them 9.3% champion probability, ranking them #4 of 48 nations. They play in Group J and have 5 Premier League players in their squad. Their model probability to reach the knockout rounds is high (70.9% R16).

Full champion-probability board →Argentina team pageUpset watchlist →Build your own bracket →
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