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Can Mexico reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

Onside's model gives Mexico a 100% chance to reach the new Round of 32 from Group A. Mexico have qualified for the Round of 32.
★ GROUP A · LIVE MODEL · UPDATED AFTER EVERY MATCH

Can Mexico reach the Round of 32?

% TO R32
100%
% TO LIFT TROPHY
3.0%
● WHAT MEXICO NEED

Mexico have qualified for the Round of 32.

POS
1st
PTS
9
P
3
GD
+6
● GROUP A TABLE
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico3300+69
2South Africa3111-14
3South Korea3102-13
4Czechia3012-41
● DEEPER ON MEXICO
MEXICO FAQ
+Can Mexico qualify from Group A at the 2026 World Cup?

Onside's model gives Mexico a 100% chance to reach the Round of 32 from Group A. Mexico have qualified for the Round of 32.

+What does Mexico need to reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

Mexico have qualified for the Round of 32.

+When does Mexico play next at the World Cup 2026?

Mexico have completed their Group A fixtures. They will play in the Round of 32 from 28 June.

+Can Mexico win the World Cup 2026?

Onside's model gives Mexico a 3.0% chance to lift the trophy. Full champion-pick reasoning at /world-cup-2026/can-x-win/mex.

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Can Mexico Reach the World Cup 2026 Knockouts? Live Model %