QUICK ANSWER

Can Mexico reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

Onside's model gives Mexico a 100% chance to reach the new Round of 32 from Group A. Mexico are 1st in Group A on 3 points with 2 games left. A win takes them closer to top 2; a defeat opens the door to the chasing pack.
★ GROUP A · LIVE MODEL · UPDATED AFTER EVERY MATCH

Can Mexico reach the Round of 32?

% TO R32
100%
% TO LIFT TROPHY
4.8%
● WHAT MEXICO NEED

Mexico are 1st in Group A on 3 points with 2 games left. A win takes them closer to top 2; a defeat opens the door to the chasing pack.

POS
1st
PTS
3
P
1
GD
+2
● GROUP A TABLE
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico1100+23
2South Korea1100+13
3Czechia1001-10
4South Africa1001-20
MEXICO'S REMAINING GROUP GAMES
● DEEPER ON MEXICO
MEXICO FAQ
+Can Mexico qualify from Group A at the 2026 World Cup?

Onside's model gives Mexico a 100% chance to reach the Round of 32 from Group A. Mexico are 1st in Group A on 3 points with 2 games left. A win takes them closer to top 2; a defeat opens the door to the chasing pack.

+What does Mexico need to reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

Mexico are 1st in Group A on 3 points with 2 games left. A win takes them closer to top 2; a defeat opens the door to the chasing pack.

+When does Mexico play next at the World Cup 2026?

Mexico's next match is South Korea on Friday 19 June at 01:00 UTC in Zapopan.

+Can Mexico win the World Cup 2026?

Onside's model gives Mexico a 4.8% chance to lift the trophy. Full champion-pick reasoning at /world-cup-2026/can-x-win/mex.

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