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QUICK ANSWER

Can Senegal reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

Onside's model gives Senegal a 90% chance to reach the new Round of 32 from Group I. Senegal haven't started their group yet. The model gives them 90% to reach the Round of 32 across their three Group I fixtures.
★ GROUP I · LIVE MODEL · UPDATED AFTER EVERY MATCH

Can Senegal reach the Round of 32?

% TO R32
90%
% TO LIFT TROPHY
1.3%
● WHAT SENEGAL NEED

Senegal haven't started their group yet. The model gives them 90% to reach the Round of 32 across their three Group I fixtures.

POS
2nd
PTS
0
P
0
GD
+0
● GROUP I TABLE
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1France0000+00
2Senegal0000+00
3Norway0000+00
4Iraq0000+00
● SENEGAL'S REMAINING GROUP GAMES
Senegal at France
Tuesday 16 June · 19:00 UTC · East Rutherford
See model prediction →
Senegal at Norway
Tuesday 23 June · 00:00 UTC · Toronto
See model prediction →
Senegal vs Iraq
Friday 26 June · 19:00 UTC · Toronto
See model prediction →
● DEEPER ON SENEGAL
Senegal full team page →Can Senegal win the World Cup? →Senegal title odds →Full bracket predictions →Run the simulator →All 48 nations · advance % →
● SENEGAL FAQ
+Can Senegal qualify from Group I at the 2026 World Cup?

Onside's model gives Senegal a 90% chance to reach the Round of 32 from Group I. Senegal haven't started their group yet. The model gives them 90% to reach the Round of 32 across their three Group I fixtures.

+What does Senegal need to reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

Senegal haven't started their group yet. The model gives them 90% to reach the Round of 32 across their three Group I fixtures.

+When does Senegal play next at the World Cup 2026?

Senegal's next match is France on Tuesday 16 June at 19:00 UTC in East Rutherford.

+Can Senegal win the World Cup 2026?

Onside's model gives Senegal a 1.3% chance to lift the trophy. Full champion-pick reasoning at /world-cup-2026/can-x-win/sen.

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