Who will win Brighton vs Manchester United?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
BHA goals down, MUN goals across
| BHA ↓ | MUN 0 | MUN 1 | MUN 2 | MUN 3 | MUN 4 | MUN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BHA 0 | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| BHA 1 | 6.9% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| BHA 2 | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| BHA 3 | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| BHA 4 | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| BHA 5 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.1%.
Brighton v Manchester United
Onside's model gives Brighton a 52% chance of beating Manchester United in Gameweek 19, with 25% on the draw and 23% on an away win. The score prediction is Brighton 2–1 Manchester United, from expected goals of 1.71 to 1.32. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
- Arsenal vs Ipswich Town prediction
- Bournemouth vs Aston Villa prediction
- Brentford vs Crystal Palace prediction
- Chelsea vs Newcastle prediction
- Leeds vs Everton prediction
- Liverpool vs Coventry City prediction
- Man City vs Spurs prediction
- Nott'm Forest vs Fulham prediction
- Sunderland vs Hull City prediction