Who will win Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
MCI goals down, TOT goals across
| MCI ↓ | TOT 0 | TOT 1 | TOT 2 | TOT 3 | TOT 4 | TOT 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCI 0 | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| MCI 1 | 6.9% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| MCI 2 | 9.1% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| MCI 3 | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| MCI 4 | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| MCI 5 | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 3.0%.
Manchester City v Tottenham Hotspur
Onside's model gives Manchester City a 63% chance of beating Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 19, with 21% on the draw and 16% on an away win. The score prediction is Manchester City 2–1 Tottenham Hotspur, from expected goals of 2.30 to 1.07. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
- Arsenal vs Ipswich Town prediction
- Bournemouth vs Aston Villa prediction
- Brentford vs Crystal Palace prediction
- Brighton vs Man Utd prediction
- Chelsea vs Newcastle prediction
- Leeds vs Everton prediction
- Liverpool vs Coventry City prediction
- Nott'm Forest vs Fulham prediction
- Sunderland vs Hull City prediction