QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Fulham?

The Onside model makes Nottingham Forest the more likely winner of Nottingham Forest vs Fulham in Gameweek 19: Nottingham Forest 41%, draw 28%, Fulham 31%. The score pick is Nottingham Forest 21 Fulham, and the single most probable scoreline is 11. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

NFO goals down, FUL goals across

NFOFUL 0FUL 1FUL 2FUL 3FUL 4FUL 5
NFO 08.3%7.3%5.6%2.4%0.8%0.2%
NFO 18.1%13.7%7.9%3.4%1.1%0.3%
NFO 26.7%8.6%5.5%2.4%0.8%0.2%
NFO 33.1%4.0%2.6%1.1%0.4%0.1%
NFO 41.1%1.4%0.9%0.4%0.1%0.0%
NFO 50.3%0.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (11); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.5%.

Sat 2 Jan · 15:00 UK · GW19 · model pl-dc-v2

Nottingham Forest v Fulham

Onside's model gives Nottingham Forest a 41% chance of beating Fulham in Gameweek 19, with 28% on the draw and 31% on an away win. The score prediction is Nottingham Forest 21 Fulham, from expected goals of 1.40 to 1.28. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.

Nottingham Forest
41%
Draw
28%
Fulham
31%
Model pick: 21 · most probable 11
OUR RECORD — MODEL RECEIPTS →
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locks Sat 15:00
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.401.28
★ MODE
11
13.7%
21
8.6%
00
8.3%
10
8.1%
12
7.9%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
56%

Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Nottingham Forest
Attack ranks #19 and defence #15 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.11 on goal rate.
Fulham
Attack ranks #12, defence #17. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.401.28.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).

All predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
More GW19 predictions
Nottingham Forest vs Fulham Prediction — GW19 Score & Win Probability