Who will win Fulham vs Coventry City?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
FUL goals down, COV goals across
| FUL ↓ | COV 0 | COV 1 | COV 2 | COV 3 | COV 4 | COV 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUL 0 | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| FUL 1 | 8.1% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| FUL 2 | 8.7% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| FUL 3 | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| FUL 4 | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| FUL 5 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.3%.
Fulham v Coventry City
Onside's model gives Fulham a 53% chance of beating Coventry City in Gameweek 37, with 25% on the draw and 22% on an away win. The score prediction is Fulham 2–1 Coventry City, from expected goals of 1.86 to 1.13. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).