QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Hull City vs Coventry City?

The Onside model makes Hull City the more likely winner of Hull City vs Coventry City in Gameweek 32: Hull City 45%, draw 28%, Coventry City 27%. The score pick is Hull City 21 Coventry City, and the single most probable scoreline is 11. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

HUL goals down, COV goals across

HULCOV 0COV 1COV 2COV 3COV 4COV 5
HUL 06.9%5.4%4.2%1.7%0.5%0.1%
HUL 17.9%12.7%6.9%2.8%0.9%0.2%
HUL 27.7%9.4%5.8%2.4%0.7%0.2%
HUL 34.3%5.2%3.2%1.3%0.4%0.1%
HUL 41.8%2.2%1.3%0.5%0.2%0.0%
HUL 50.6%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (11); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.9%.

Sat 17 Apr · 15:00 UK · GW32 · model pl-dc-v2

Hull City v Coventry City

Onside's model gives Hull City a 45% chance of beating Coventry City in Gameweek 32, with 28% on the draw and 27% on an away win. The score prediction is Hull City 21 Coventry City, from expected goals of 1.67 to 1.23. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.

Hull City
45%
Draw
28%
Coventry City
27%
Model pick: 21 · most probable 11
OUR RECORD — MODEL RECEIPTS →
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locks Sat 14:00
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.671.23
★ MODE
11
12.7%
21
9.4%
10
7.9%
20
7.7%
12
6.9%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
55%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
59%

Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Hull City
Attack ranks #15 and defence #18 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.11 on goal rate.
Coventry City
Attack ranks #20, defence #19. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.671.23.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).

All predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
More GW32 predictions
Hull City vs Coventry City Prediction — GW32 Score & Win Probability