QUICK ANSWER

Can Australia reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

Onside's model gives Australia a 96% chance to reach the new Round of 32 from Group D. Australia are 2nd in Group D on 3 points with 2 games left. A win takes them closer to top 2; a defeat opens the door to the chasing pack.
★ GROUP D · LIVE MODEL · UPDATED AFTER EVERY MATCH

Can Australia reach the Round of 32?

% TO R32
96%
% TO LIFT TROPHY
0.0%
● WHAT AUSTRALIA NEED

Australia are 2nd in Group D on 3 points with 2 games left. A win takes them closer to top 2; a defeat opens the door to the chasing pack.

POS
2nd
PTS
3
P
1
GD
+2
● GROUP D TABLE
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1United States1100+33
2Australia1100+23
3Türkiye1001-20
4Paraguay1001-30
AUSTRALIA'S REMAINING GROUP GAMES
● DEEPER ON AUSTRALIA
AUSTRALIA FAQ
+Can Australia qualify from Group D at the 2026 World Cup?

Onside's model gives Australia a 96% chance to reach the Round of 32 from Group D. Australia are 2nd in Group D on 3 points with 2 games left. A win takes them closer to top 2; a defeat opens the door to the chasing pack.

+What does Australia need to reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

Australia are 2nd in Group D on 3 points with 2 games left. A win takes them closer to top 2; a defeat opens the door to the chasing pack.

+When does Australia play next at the World Cup 2026?

Australia's next match is United States on Friday 19 June at 19:00 UTC in Seattle.

+Can Australia win the World Cup 2026?

Onside's model gives Australia a 0.0% chance to lift the trophy. Full champion-pick reasoning at /world-cup-2026/can-x-win/aus.

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