QUICK ANSWER

Can Türkiye reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

Onside's model gives Türkiye a 47% chance to reach the new Round of 32 from Group D. Türkiye sit 3rd in Group D on 0 points. They need results in their 2 remaining games plus help elsewhere — top-2 is the safe route, but the 8 best 3rd-placers also advance to the Round of 32.
★ GROUP D · LIVE MODEL · UPDATED AFTER EVERY MATCH

Can Türkiye reach the Round of 32?

% TO R32
47%
% TO LIFT TROPHY
0.3%
● WHAT TÜRKIYE NEED

Türkiye sit 3rd in Group D on 0 points. They need results in their 2 remaining games plus help elsewhere — top-2 is the safe route, but the 8 best 3rd-placers also advance to the Round of 32.

POS
3rd
PTS
0
P
1
GD
-2
● GROUP D TABLE
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1United States1100+33
2Australia1100+23
3Türkiye1001-20
4Paraguay1001-30
TÜRKIYE'S REMAINING GROUP GAMES
● DEEPER ON TÜRKIYE
TÜRKIYE FAQ
+Can Türkiye qualify from Group D at the 2026 World Cup?

Onside's model gives Türkiye a 47% chance to reach the Round of 32 from Group D. Türkiye sit 3rd in Group D on 0 points. They need results in their 2 remaining games plus help elsewhere — top-2 is the safe route, but the 8 best 3rd-placers also advance to the Round of 32.

+What does Türkiye need to reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

Türkiye sit 3rd in Group D on 0 points. They need results in their 2 remaining games plus help elsewhere — top-2 is the safe route, but the 8 best 3rd-placers also advance to the Round of 32.

+When does Türkiye play next at the World Cup 2026?

Türkiye's next match is Paraguay on Saturday 20 June at 03:00 UTC in Santa Clara.

+Can Türkiye win the World Cup 2026?

Onside's model gives Türkiye a 0.3% chance to lift the trophy. Full champion-pick reasoning at /world-cup-2026/can-x-win/tur.

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