QUICK ANSWER

Can United States reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

Onside's model gives United States a 99% chance to reach the new Round of 32 from Group D. United States are 1st in Group D on 3 points with 2 games left. A win takes them closer to top 2; a defeat opens the door to the chasing pack.
★ GROUP D · LIVE MODEL · UPDATED AFTER EVERY MATCH

Can United States reach the Round of 32?

% TO R32
99%
% TO LIFT TROPHY
4.1%
● WHAT UNITED STATES NEED

United States are 1st in Group D on 3 points with 2 games left. A win takes them closer to top 2; a defeat opens the door to the chasing pack.

POS
1st
PTS
3
P
1
GD
+3
● GROUP D TABLE
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1United States1100+33
2Australia1100+23
3Türkiye1001-20
4Paraguay1001-30
UNITED STATES'S REMAINING GROUP GAMES
● DEEPER ON UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES FAQ
+Can United States qualify from Group D at the 2026 World Cup?

Onside's model gives United States a 99% chance to reach the Round of 32 from Group D. United States are 1st in Group D on 3 points with 2 games left. A win takes them closer to top 2; a defeat opens the door to the chasing pack.

+What does United States need to reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

United States are 1st in Group D on 3 points with 2 games left. A win takes them closer to top 2; a defeat opens the door to the chasing pack.

+When does United States play next at the World Cup 2026?

United States's next match is Australia on Friday 19 June at 19:00 UTC in Seattle.

+Can United States win the World Cup 2026?

Onside's model gives United States a 4.1% chance to lift the trophy. Full champion-pick reasoning at /world-cup-2026/can-x-win/usa.

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