Can Türkiye win the World Cup 2026?
UNLIKELY — tournament far too open. Onside's 2,000-run Monte Carlo gives Türkiye a 0.4% champion probability — ranked #21 of 48 nations. Türkiye is a mid-tier outsider (FIFA #22, 1 Premier League players in the squad).
Türkiye's path to the final
Türkiye's group fixtures
3 GROUP MATCHES · MODEL WIN PROBABILITY
Türkiye vs the field
TOP CHAMPION-PROBABILITY RIVALS
Türkiye's Premier League players
1 PL PLAYERS IN THE SQUAD
In one line
Türkiye is a long shot to win the 2026 World Cup — Onside's AI model gives them 0.4% champion probability, ranking them #21 of 48 nations. They play in Group D and have 1 Premier League players in their squad. Their group-stage path is the main hurdle (40.3% R16).
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