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World Cup 2026 Final predictions

Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo points to Spain (58.4%) and Argentina (41.6%) as the leading final candidates. The final run Sunday 19 July 2026. Full top-2 below — each call is graded after full time at /model-record.
See it live for your team on Onside →Updated moments ago
Analysis by the Onside model · ensemble ML, 0.86 MAEPublic track recordMethodologyUpdated 2026-07-31
★ FINAL PREDICTIONS · 10K MONTE CARLO · UPDATED HOURLY

World Cup 2026 Final

The World Cup 2026 Final is on Sunday 19 July at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey. Our model rates the two most likely finalists and the next two strongest contenders.

2 TEAMS REMAINING·Sunday 19 July 2026·FIRST KO Sun 19 Jul 20:00 BST
● TOP 2 FINAL CANDIDATES

The sides the model rates most likely

#1
58.4%
Spain
Champion prob
#2
41.6%
Argentina
Champion prob
● DEEPER
Full bracket predictions →Run the simulator →Champion shortlist →Knockout fixtures →Accuracy receipts →
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● FINAL FAQ

FAQ

+Which teams are most likely to reach the Final at the World Cup 2026?

Per Onside's model, Spain, Argentina are the most likely sides to be involved in the Final. Full top 2 list with champion probability is above.

+When are the World Cup 2026 Final?

The Final run Sunday 19 July 2026. First kick-off is Sun 19 Jul 20:00 BST.

+Who is favourite to win the World Cup 2026?

Spain currently leads the model at 58.4% champion probability, with Argentina next at 41.6%. The Final is at MetLife Stadium on 19 July.

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