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EVE · DEF · FPL 2026/27

Jake O'Brien — Defender, Everton

Jake O'Brien costs £4.8m in FPL 2026/27, is a defender for Everton, and the Onside model projects 11+ points across O'Brien's next 6 fixtures. Owned by 0.3% of managers. Next fixture GW10: vs COV — projected 2.6 xP.
Price
£4.8m
Total pts
12
Form
2.5
Owned
0.3%
GW10 · vs COV
O'Brien
EVE
O'Brien
Projected points
2.6 xP
£4.8m · 0.3% owned
Available
QUICK ANSWER

Is O'Brien worth picking in FPL 2026/27?

O'Brien is a defender for Everton, priced at £4.8m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27, and Onside projects 11+ points over his next 6 gameweeks. Onside gives O'Brien a 57% chance of starting Gameweek 10, from 5 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. Full verdict, ownership, fixture run and set-piece role below, updated live from the official FPL data.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVEO'Brien 57% to start · Gameweek 10

Season Summary

O'Brien scored 0 goals and provided 0 assists with 1 clean sheet for Everton in the 2026/27 season so far. Priced at £4.8m, O'Brien has accumulated 12 total FPL points this season. Over the last 5 gameweeks, O'Brien has averaged 2.2 points per game (form: 2.5). GW10: vs COV (difficulty 2/5, 2.6 projected xP). Across the next 6 fixtures, Onside projects 11.0 total xP.

Premier League Stats

Defender · Season 26/27

Live

On the Pitch

2Starts
208Mins
0Goals
0Assists
1Clean Sheets

Expected Stats

0.20xG
0.09xA
0.29xGI

Next gameweek prediction

GW 10
Differential
2.6xP next match

2.6 xP at 0% ownership — top 28% of the game, and few rivals have him.

vs (H)
COV
COV
Diff2
Fri 06 Nov, 20:00
Next 6 GWs total11.0 xP
How Gameweek 10 could go

O'Brien projects 2.6 — but FPL points come in lumps

RETURN24%
6+ PTS
HAUL3%
10+ PTS
BLANK60%
2 OR FEWER

Chances from 3,000 simulated matches for this fixture, calibrated against three seasons of real outcomes, before any captain doubling.

Start probability · Onside model

Onside gives O'Brien a 57% chance of starting Gameweek 10.

57%
ROTATION RISK

Based on 5 gameweeks of 2026/27 team-sheet evidence. Model confidence 83%. This is the probability he is in the starting XI, not the probability he plays — a substitute appearance is not a start.

The 100-gameweek array

O'Brien scores 6+ in 24 of 100 gameweeks at this projection (24%)

Each square is a gameweek at the engine’s current projection for O'Brien. Acid squares are the weeks he scores six or more — usually a goal, or an assist or clean sheet with bonus. The grey ones are the blanks nobody puts in the highlight reel.

The shape, not just the number: a high projection with many grey squares is a different bet from the same projection concentrated in acid.

ENGINE V6 · GW10 · AS OF 2 NOV · ONSIDEARENA.COM
Next six — difficulty ramp
GW10
COV (H)
2
GW11
BRE (A)
3
GW12
LIV (H)
4
GW13
AVL (A)
3
GW14
FUL (H)
2
GW15
BHA (A)
4

6-GW outlook

Projected xP
GW10 H vs COV — diff 2, xP 2.62.6COVH · GW10GW11 A vs BRE — diff 3, xP 1.71.7BREA · GW11GW12 H vs LIV — diff 4, xP 1.51.5LIVH · GW12GW13 A vs AVL — diff 3, xP 1.71.7AVLA · GW13GW14 H vs FUL — diff 2, xP 2.02.0FULH · GW14GW15 A vs BHA — diff 4, xP 1.51.5BHAA · GW15

Last 10 GWs

Points trend
GW1: 0 pts (0G 0A 0') vs CRYGW2: 0 pts (0G 0A 0') vs BOUGW3: 0 pts (0G 0A 0') vs MUNGW4: 1 pts (0G 0A 15') vs TOTGW5: 1 pts (0G 0A 1') vs IPSGW6: 1 pts (0G 0A 12') vs HULGW7: 0 pts (0G 0A 0') vs CHEGW8: 3 pts (0G 0A 90') vs ARSGW9: 6 pts (0G 0A 90') vs NEW
O'Brien match-by-match Fantasy Premier League record 2026/27 — gameweek, opponent, minutes, goals and assists, points
GWOppMinG/APts
9NEW (A)90'0/06
8ARS (A)90'0/03
7CHE (H)0'0/00
6HUL (A)12'0/01
5IPS (H)1'0/01
4TOT (A)15'0/01

How accurate have our O'Brien projections been?

Every projection below was published on this site before the deadline it applies to, and is shown next to what O'Brien actually scored. Too few graded gameweeks so far to average meaningfully on this player, so no average is claimed — the individual weeks are below, and the site-wide record across every player is on the accuracy page.

Onside projected points vs the official FPL projection vs actual score — O'Brien, Fantasy Premier League 2026/27
GWOnsideFPLActualMinsCloser
GW12.92.200under 60 mins — not graded
GW22.42.200under 60 mins — not graded
GW30.30.000under 60 mins — not graded
GW40.30.0115under 60 mins — not graded
GW50.30.211under 60 mins — not graded
GW60.30.2112under 60 mins — not graded
GW70.30.700under 60 mins — not graded
GW80.30.7390FPL

Rows under 60 minutes are shown but excluded from the averages, the same scope guard the site-wide graded record uses. The full dataset for every player is published as CSV under CC BY 4.0. Last graded .

Season stats vs defenders

Percentile rank

Attack

  • Goals
    0
    0
  • Assists
    0
    0
  • Expected goals
    56
    0.20
  • Expected assists
    38
    0.09
  • Expected GI
    43
    0.29

Defence

  • Clean sheets
    40
    1

Underlying

  • Minutes
    31
    208
  • Starts
    23
    2
  • Bonus pts
    0
    0
  • BPS total
    37
    31

Creativity / ICT

  • Threat
    19
    4
  • Creativity
    14
    2
  • Influence
    24
    31
  • ICT index
    18
    3.7
Live this gameweek

Before the deadline, check these

Frequently Asked Questions

Powered by Onside AI engine

Will O'Brien start in Gameweek 10?

Onside gives O'Brien a 57% chance of starting Gameweek 10, from 5 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. That is the probability he is named in the starting XI, not the probability he features — a substitute appearance is not a start.

Is O'Brien worth captaining in GW10?

According to Onside's AI engine, O'Brien is a differential captain option (low-ownership) for GW10 with 2.6 projected points. 2.6 xP at 0% ownership — top 28% of the game, and few rivals have him.

How many goals has O'Brien scored this season in FPL?

O'Brien has scored 0 goals and provided 0 assists for Everton in the 2026/27 FPL season so far, totalling 12 points.

Is O'Brien fit to play?

O'Brien is currently listed as fully available in FPL with no injury concerns recorded. Onside tracks status updates hourly — check back before each deadline.

Does O'Brien take set pieces for Everton?

O'Brien is not currently listed as a regular set-piece taker for Everton in Onside's curated data. This can change during the season — Onside updates set-piece roles weekly.

How much does O'Brien cost in FPL?

O'Brien currently costs £4.8m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27. With 12 total points this season, that is 2.5 points per million — moderate value for the price.

What are O'Brien's projected points in FPL?

The Onside model projects 11.0 points for O'Brien across the next 6 gameweeks including 2.6 points in GW10 vs COV. Projections refresh after every played match.

Is O'Brien worth it in FPL 26/27?

At £4.8m, the Onside model projects 11+ points for O'Brien over the next 6 gameweeks — weigh that projection against alternatives at the same price before committing. Projections update after every match, so check again near the deadline.

What does O'Brien's FPL fixture run look like?

O'Brien has a mixed fixture run over the next 6 gameweeks. Onside projects 11.0 total expected points across this period. Monitor week-by-week.

Compare with similar players

Head-to-head comparisons

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