Who will win Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
BOU goals down, SUN goals across
| BOU ↓ | SUN 0 | SUN 1 | SUN 2 | SUN 3 | SUN 4 | SUN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOU 0 | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| BOU 1 | 9.4% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| BOU 2 | 9.3% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| BOU 3 | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| BOU 4 | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| BOU 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.9%.
Bournemouth v Sunderland
Onside's model gives Bournemouth a 48% chance of beating Sunderland in Gameweek 7, with 27% on the draw and 25% on an away win. The score prediction is Bournemouth 1–0 Sunderland, from expected goals of 1.73 to 1.05. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).