QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Fulham vs Hull City?

The Onside model makes Fulham the more likely winner of Fulham vs Hull City in Gameweek 7: Fulham 49%, draw 27%, Hull City 24%. The score pick is Fulham 21 Hull City, and the single most probable scoreline is 11. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

FUL goals down, HUL goals across

FULHUL 0HUL 1HUL 2HUL 3HUL 4HUL 5
FUL 06.4%4.7%3.6%1.4%0.4%0.1%
FUL 17.8%12.1%6.4%2.6%0.8%0.2%
FUL 28.1%9.7%5.8%2.3%0.7%0.2%
FUL 34.8%5.8%3.4%1.4%0.4%0.1%
FUL 42.2%2.6%1.5%0.6%0.2%0.0%
FUL 50.8%0.9%0.6%0.2%0.1%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (11); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.1%.

Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 UK · GW7 · model pl-dc-v2

Fulham v Hull City

Onside's model gives Fulham a 49% chance of beating Hull City in Gameweek 7, with 27% on the draw and 24% on an away win. The score prediction is Fulham 21 Hull City, from expected goals of 1.79 to 1.19. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.

Fulham
49%
Draw
27%
Hull City
24%
Model pick: 21 · most probable 11
OUR RECORD — MODEL RECEIPTS →
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locks Sat 14:00
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.791.19
★ MODE
11
12.1%
21
9.7%
20
8.1%
10
7.8%
12
6.4%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
57%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
59%

Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Fulham
Attack ranks #12 and defence #17 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.11 on goal rate.
Hull City
Attack ranks #15, defence #18. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.791.19.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).

All predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
More GW7 predictions
Fulham vs Hull City Prediction — GW7 Score & Win Probability