Who will win Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
BOU goals down, TOT goals across
| BOU ↓ | TOT 0 | TOT 1 | TOT 2 | TOT 3 | TOT 4 | TOT 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOU 0 | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| BOU 1 | 6.4% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| BOU 2 | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| BOU 3 | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| BOU 4 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| BOU 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.1%.
Bournemouth v Tottenham Hotspur
Onside's model gives Bournemouth a 51% chance of beating Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 28, with 25% on the draw and 24% on an away win. The score prediction is Bournemouth 2–1 Tottenham Hotspur, from expected goals of 1.71 to 1.40. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).