Who will win Liverpool vs Everton?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
LIV goals down, EVE goals across
| LIV ↓ | EVE 0 | EVE 1 | EVE 2 | EVE 3 | EVE 4 | EVE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIV 0 | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| LIV 1 | 8.3% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| LIV 2 | 9.6% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| LIV 3 | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| LIV 4 | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| LIV 5 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.8%.
Liverpool v Everton
Onside's model gives Liverpool a 50% chance of beating Everton in Gameweek 23, with 26% on the draw and 24% on an away win. The score prediction is Liverpool 2–1 Everton, from expected goals of 2.03 to 1.04. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).