Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Sunderland?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
TOT goals down, SUN goals across
| TOT ↓ | SUN 0 | SUN 1 | SUN 2 | SUN 3 | SUN 4 | SUN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOT 0 | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| TOT 1 | 8.8% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| TOT 2 | 9.1% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| TOT 3 | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| TOT 4 | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| TOT 5 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.1%.
Tottenham Hotspur v Sunderland
Onside's model gives Tottenham Hotspur a 42% chance of beating Sunderland in Gameweek 23, with 28% on the draw and 30% on an away win. The score prediction is Tottenham Hotspur 2–1 Sunderland, from expected goals of 1.80 to 1.07. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
- Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town prediction
- Bournemouth vs Fulham prediction
- Brentford vs Man Utd prediction
- Chelsea vs Nott'm Forest prediction
- Coventry City vs Leeds prediction
- Hull City vs Crystal Palace prediction
- Liverpool vs Everton prediction
- Man City vs Arsenal prediction
- Newcastle vs Brighton prediction