Who will win Coventry City vs Leeds United?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
COV goals down, LEE goals across
| COV ↓ | LEE 0 | LEE 1 | LEE 2 | LEE 3 | LEE 4 | LEE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COV 0 | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| COV 1 | 7.0% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| COV 2 | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| COV 3 | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| COV 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| COV 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.6%.
Coventry City v Leeds United
Onside's model gives Coventry City a 31% chance of beating Leeds United in Gameweek 23, with 28% on the draw and 41% on an away win. The score prediction is Coventry City 1–2 Leeds United, from expected goals of 1.28 to 1.44. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).