Who will win Manchester City vs Fulham?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
MCI goals down, FUL goals across
| MCI ↓ | FUL 0 | FUL 1 | FUL 2 | FUL 3 | FUL 4 | FUL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCI 0 | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| MCI 1 | 7.4% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| MCI 2 | 10.2% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| MCI 3 | 8.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| MCI 4 | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| MCI 5 | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 3.7%.
Manchester City v Fulham
Onside's model gives Manchester City a 60% chance of beating Fulham in Gameweek 11, with 22% on the draw and 18% on an away win. The score prediction is Manchester City 2–0 Fulham, from expected goals of 2.43 to 0.94. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
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