Who will win Newcastle United vs Fulham?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
NEW goals down, FUL goals across
| NEW ↓ | FUL 0 | FUL 1 | FUL 2 | FUL 3 | FUL 4 | FUL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEW 0 | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| NEW 1 | 6.9% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| NEW 2 | 8.1% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| NEW 3 | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| NEW 4 | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| NEW 5 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.7%.
Newcastle United v Fulham
Onside's model gives Newcastle United a 50% chance of beating Fulham in Gameweek 21, with 25% on the draw and 25% on an away win. The score prediction is Newcastle United 2–1 Fulham, from expected goals of 1.99 to 1.21. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
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