GW8 REVIEWED. GW9 CALLED.
GW9 in 30 seconds
Haaland — 5.38 projected v Brighton at home, 43% to score 6+ and 19% to haul before the armband. Vice: Tavernier.
Tavernier (BOU, £6.3m) — №2 on the captain board and the third-best six-week projection in the game (24.5), Leeds at home first.
N.Jackson — 395,000 bought him after the brace. The model has him at 3.1 for GW9 and 70th over six weeks.
Hold. No double gameweek, and Haaland at 5.4 is not a triple-captain number.
What just happened
A 45-point average: João Pedro, the most vice-captained player in the game, didn’t play; Bruno and Palmer didn’t play; Rogers scored 1 and Groß put one in his own net. The points went to Arsenal’s back line and to the 8%-owned Nathan Jackson, whose brace beat City.
Every GW8 result
GW8 top scorers
A 2-0 over Everton was worth 17 to Gabriel (goal, clean sheet, maximum bonus) and 14 to Konsa (goal, clean sheet). In a 45-point week the two best scores in the game were centre-backs.
João Pedro — 71% owned and the most popular vice-captain — played no minutes and now carries a 75% flag; Bruno and Palmer didn’t play either; Rogers scored 1 and Groß 0, with an own goal. Haaland’s goal and two bonus (8) was the template’s best day.
Our sealed GW8 call was made on Tuesday 20 Oct, by the old engine: Rogers as captain (1 point) — Haaland carried a 75% flag when it was sealed — and a model XI that scored 25 against 54.3 projected. Tavernier, fourth on that shortlist, scored 10. A bad week, recorded as one. Engine v6 went live on 25 Oct and makes every call below.
What the model says next
The new engine’s first full week, and its board starts where the template does — Haaland, home to Brighton — then spends its edge elsewhere: Tavernier and the 0.6%-owned Rudoni are the buys, Bruno is the hold, and the most-bought striker of the week is the one it would not touch.
The highest projection and the highest haul chance on the board. 78% owned, so captaining him protects rank more than it gains it — and the model agrees with the crowd this week.
Goal and two bonus in the 3-0 at Old Trafford, now Leeds at home. The lowest blank chance in the top five — the vice-captain, and the armband for anyone chasing.
Didn’t play in GW8 and 144,000 have sold. Still №3 for the week and №2 over six — the projection assumes he starts at Stamford Bridge, so check Friday’s news.
Scored 1 for the half of FPL that owns him. The same 12:30 Saturday kick-off as Bruno, on the other side.
£4.9m, 0.6% owned and fifth on the board. On penalties and direct free kicks at home to Sunderland — the rank-climber’s armband.
ORDER = THE ONSIDE CAPTAIN BOARD (/CAPTAIN) · ODDS = CHANCE OF 6+, 10+ AND 2 OR FEWER, BEFORE DOUBLING
Buys, traps, and one keep
378,000 have already bought him and the model co-signs: third-best six-week projection in the game, and Bournemouth’s run (LEE, IPS, NFO, FUL, BHA, HUL) is joint-best on the ticker.
Sixth-best six-week projection in the game at £4.9m — ahead of Palmer — and owned by almost nobody.
The top defensive projection for GW9, and Newcastle are second on the defensive board with Everton at home.
The week’s most-bought player (395,000) after the brace that beat City. The model sees 3.1 for Fulham at home and 70th over six weeks: last week was the haul, not the trend.
144,000 sold after GW8. The model has him №2 over the next six; if he’s fit on Friday, selling now sells the top of the board.
NEXT SIX = THE MODEL'S CALIBRATED SIX-GAMEWEEK PROJECTION · OWNERSHIP AND TRANSFER COUNTS FROM THE FPL API AT PUBLISH
Which chip — if any — this week
Only if João Pedro, Calafiori (both 75%) and Saka (out) are three problems in one team. Bournemouth, Villa, Ipswich and Spurs have the best six-week runs to build around.
Haaland at 5.4 with a 19% haul chance is a normal week, not a triple-captain week. Wait for a double gameweek.
No blank gameweek to cover. Keep it.
No case without a double gameweek.
Where the points are
Rogers, Palmer and Neto — the strongest attacking trio on the board, at home in the early kick-off.
Buendía (1.3%) and McGinn (3.1%) carry it — the differential route, not N.Jackson.
Barry and Dewsbury-Hall, both under 8% owned.
Hill, Silva and Truffert all project top-10 among defenders after a clean sheet at Old Trafford.
Hall is the top defensive projection of the week; Botman at 0.8% is the cheaper way in.
Ajer at £4.5m is the value pick.
Differentials, under 10% owned
GW9 fixtures
TEAM COLOUR = HOW HARD ITS OPPONENT MAKES THIS FIXTURE · ACID EASY · WHITE MID · ORANGE HARD · RED HARDEST
Every team's next six, ranked
| TEAM | GW9 | GW10 | GW11 | GW12 | GW13 | GW14 | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVL | FUL (H) | MUN (A) | SUN (H) | IPS (A) | EVE (H) | CRY (H) | 2.67 |
| BOU | LEE (H) | IPS (A) | NFO (H) | FUL (A) | BHA (H) | HUL (H) | 2.67 |
| IPS | HUL (A) | BOU (H) | TOT (A) | AVL (H) | COV (A) | LEE (A) | 2.67 |
| TOT | CRY (H) | LEE (A) | IPS (H) | SUN (A) | FUL (H) | ARS (H) | 2.67 |
| COV | SUN (H) | EVE (A) | CRY (H) | LEE (A) | IPS (H) | MUN (A) | 2.83 |
| EVE | NEW (A) | COV (H) | BRE (A) | LIV (H) | AVL (A) | FUL (H) | 2.83 |
| CRY | TOT (A) | LIV (H) | COV (A) | HUL (H) | CHE (A) | AVL (A) | 3.00 |
| LEE | BOU (A) | TOT (H) | CHE (A) | COV (H) | MCI (A) | IPS (H) | 3.00 |
| SUN | COV (A) | CHE (H) | AVL (A) | TOT (H) | LIV (A) | NEW (A) | 3.00 |
| ARS | LIV (A) | HUL (H) | NEW (A) | MCI (H) | BRE (A) | TOT (A) | 3.17 |
| BHA | MCI (A) | BRE (H) | HUL (A) | NEW (H) | BOU (A) | NFO (A) | 3.17 |
| CHE | MUN (H) | SUN (A) | LEE (H) | NFO (A) | CRY (H) | LIV (H) | 3.17 |
| HUL | IPS (H) | ARS (A) | BHA (H) | CRY (A) | NFO (H) | BOU (A) | 3.17 |
| MCI | BHA (H) | NFO (A) | FUL (H) | ARS (A) | LEE (H) | BRE (A) | 3.17 |
| MUN | CHE (A) | AVL (H) | LIV (A) | BRE (H) | NEW (A) | COV (H) | 3.17 |
| NFO | BRE (A) | MCI (H) | BOU (A) | CHE (H) | HUL (A) | BHA (H) | 3.17 |
| FUL | AVL (A) | NEW (H) | MCI (A) | BOU (H) | TOT (A) | EVE (A) | 3.33 |
| LIV | ARS (H) | CRY (A) | MUN (H) | EVE (A) | SUN (H) | CHE (A) | 3.50 |
| NEW | EVE (H) | FUL (A) | ARS (H) | BHA (A) | MUN (H) | SUN (H) | 3.50 |
| BRE | NFO (H) | BHA (A) | EVE (H) | MUN (A) | ARS (H) | MCI (H) | 3.67 |
CELL COLOUR = FPL FIXTURE DIFFICULTY FOR THAT TEAM · SORTED BY AVERAGE OVER THE SIX
- 01Chelsea v Man Utd kicks off at 12:30 on Saturday, 90 minutes after the deadline: Bruno (didn’t play in GW8) and Palmer (didn’t play) are both projected as starters. Friday’s press conferences decide whether either holds.
- 02João Pedro (71.5% owned) and Calafiori (52.9%) carry 75% flags and Saka is out. Three of the most-owned players in the game are doubts — that, not the fixtures, is the case for a wildcard this week.
- 03Liverpool v Arsenal on Sunday is FDR 4 at both ends, and Newcastle v Everton doesn’t start until Monday night — Hall and Barry owners wait the longest.
The live boards, updated since this went out
- FPL injury news →63 ruled out · 26 doubtful · 3 suspended
- FPL price changes tonight →Isak leads the risers · João Pedro the fallers
- FPL predicted points →Onside xP for every player, graded after the gameweek
- Predicted line-ups →Every club’s likely XI from who actually starts
- FPL statistics →Haaland is the most owned, at 77.9%
NUMBERS FROZEN AT PUBLISH (2026-10-26) FROM THE LIVE FPL API AND THE ONSIDE ENGINE. PROJECTIONS AND PRICES MOVE — THE LIVE BOARDS ABOVE ALWAYS CARRY THE CURRENT CALL.