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How did Pape Matar Sarr do at World Cup 2026?

Pape Matar Sarr represented Senegal at the 2026 World Cup — they finished as round of 32. Senegal were knocked out of the 2026 World Cup in the Round of 32 by Belgium (2-3 (AET)). Full scoring leaders are on the Golden Boot board; the whole tournament story is in the tournament review.
SENEGAL · GROUP I · SPURS

Pape Matar Sarr

TOP-100 · #58SENEGALPL · SPURS

“Pape Matar Sarr carries Senegal's World Cup hopes through Group I — model projects 5.6 pts-per-90 across the three group-stage fixtures.”

ONSIDE AI · MODEL v5

PROJ PPG · MODEL
5.6
vs ALL OUTFIELDS IN TOP-100
0.07.0
HOW FAR DOES SARR GO?
ROUND OF 16
33%
QUARTER-FINAL
11%
SEMI-FINAL
4.9%
FINAL
1.6%
CHAMPION
0.7%

Cumulative probabilities · Updated each match · 60-min refresh

PHOTO · WIKIMEDIA COMMONS

TOURNAMENT STATS · UPDATES EVERY MATCH

Live stat sheet

Matches
—
pre-debut
Minutes
—
Goals
0
Assists
0
Clean Sheets
—
outfield
xG
—
pre-debut
Proj xP/90
5.6
model
Fantasy pts
0
Onside calc

Stats refresh after every match (60s ISR + football-data 15s upstream cache). xG is approximated until shot-level data ships; clean sheets currently track GKs only.

ONSIDE MODEL · TOURNAMENT IMPACT MAP

Sarr's match-by-match expected output

Per-match expected points combine the model's win probability for Senegal, projected per-90 output, and assumed minutes share. Cells dim as the journey grows uncertain.

MD 116 Jun
vs fra
21%
1.0EXP PTS
MD 223 Jun
vs nor
53%
2.5EXP PTS
MD 326 Jun
vs irq
85%
4.0EXP PTS
R16
Round of 16
33%
1.5EXP PTS
QF
Quarter-final
11%
0.5EXP PTS
SF
Semi-final
5%
0.2EXP PTS
FINAL
Final
2%
0.1EXP PTS

Knockout cells dashed to signal contingency · Click any group cell to open the prediction.

ONSIDE RADAR · WC 2026 MODEL

Pape Matar Sarr — the player profile

Senegal #14 · Spurs · PL regular

5-AXIS PROFILE
ATTACK58PLAYMAKING63TACTICAL78PHYSICAL76DEFENDING60
Pape Matar SarrAverage pro · 75
ONSIDE MODEL · WC 2026 PROJECTION
EXP. GOALS · TMT
0.1
across the tournament
EXP. ASSISTS · TMT
0.1
across the tournament
xG / MATCH
0.02
model expectation
xA / MATCH
0.02
model expectation
MINUTES SHARE
85%
PL regular · high start prob
POSITION
—
Spurs

Ratings synthesised by Onside's model from team rank + position cohort + recent fixtures. Refreshed every 60 minutes.

Pape Matar Sarr's group-stage fixtures

3 MATCHES · MODEL WIN-PROBABILITIES SHOWN

vs France (away)
MD1 · Tue 16 Jun · 19:00 UTC · East Rutherford
21%/23%/56%
WIN · DRAW · LOSE
vs Norway (away)
MD2 · Tue 23 Jun · 00:00 UTC · Toronto
53%/24%/23%
WIN · DRAW · LOSE
vs Iraq (home)
MD3 · Fri 26 Jun · 19:00 UTC · Toronto
85%/9%/6%
WIN · DRAW · LOSE

Other Senegal stars at WC 2026

PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS IN THE SQUAD

Mamadou Sarr
Chelsea
El-Hadji Malick Diouf
West Ham
Idrissa Gueye
Everton
Habib Diarra
Sunderland
Iliman Ndiaye
Everton
Nicolas Jackson
Chelsea
Ismaïla Sarr
Crystal Palace

More World Cup 2026

Full Senegal pageSenegal's chances at the World CupGolden Boot boardFantasy captainsAll predictions
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