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Who will win Ipswich Town vs Fulham?

The Onside model makes Fulham the more likely winner of Ipswich Town vs Fulham in Gameweek 6: Ipswich Town 36%, draw 27%, Fulham 37%. The score pick is Ipswich Town 12 Fulham, and the single most probable scoreline is 11. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

IPS goals down, FUL goals across

IPSFUL 0FUL 1FUL 2FUL 3FUL 4FUL 5
IPS 06.5%6.3%5.8%2.9%1.1%0.3%
IPS 16.2%12.7%8.5%4.2%1.6%0.5%
IPS 25.6%8.3%6.2%3.1%1.2%0.3%
IPS 32.7%4.1%3.1%1.5%0.6%0.2%
IPS 41.0%1.5%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%
IPS 50.3%0.4%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (11); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.8%.

Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK · GW6 · model pl-dc-v2

Ipswich Town v Fulham

Onside's model gives Ipswich Town a 36% chance of beating Fulham in Gameweek 6, with 27% on the draw and 37% on an away win. The score prediction is Ipswich Town 12 Fulham, from expected goals of 1.47 to 1.50. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.

Ipswich Town
36%
Draw
27%
Fulham
37%
Model pick: 12 · most probable 11
OUR RECORD — MODEL RECEIPTS →
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AI calls
1–2
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locks Sat 14:00
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.471.50
★ MODE
11
12.7%
12
8.5%
21
8.3%
00
6.5%
01
6.3%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
57%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
61%

Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Ipswich Town
Attack ranks #16 and defence #20 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.11 on goal rate.
Fulham
Attack ranks #12, defence #17. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.471.50.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).

All predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
More GW6 predictions
Ipswich Town vs Fulham Prediction — GW6 Score & Win Probability