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World Cup 2026 predictor — AI Monte Carlo simulator

The Onside World Cup 2026 predictor runs a 10,000-run Monte Carlo over the whole tournament. The current top pick is France at 12.5% to lift the trophy. Run your own version — lock group winners and re-simulate — at the live simulator below.
★ ONSIDE AI · 48-TEAM WORLD CUP MONTE CARLO PREDICTOR

World Cup 2026 Predictor

Predict the World Cup 2026 with an AI that runs the tournament forward 10,000 times. Champion probability for every nation. Refreshed hourly.

Run the simulator →
● TOP 8 · CURRENT PREDICTOR OUTPUT

Most likely champions

#1
12.5%
France
Predictor pick
#2
11.1%
England
Predictor pick
#3
10.9%
Spain
Predictor pick
#4
9.3%
Argentina
Predictor pick
#5
8.2%
Portugal
Predictor pick
#6
7.3%
Netherlands
Predictor pick
#7
7.2%
Brazil
Predictor pick
#8
4.9%
Belgium
Predictor pick
● MORE PREDICTIONS
Live simulator — run it yourself →Predicted bracket →All 48 nations · advance % →Winner predictions →Every graded call →
● PREDICTOR FAQ
+What is a World Cup 2026 predictor?

A World Cup predictor simulates the whole tournament forward thousands of times and outputs the probability of each team reaching each round. Onside's predictor runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations and updates hourly as group-stage results land.

+How accurate is the AI World Cup 2026 predictor?

Pre-tournament we target a top-3 champion-probability window — the actual winner has historically been among our top 3 around 50% of the time. The board sharpens dramatically as group-stage results land. Every call is graded after full time at /world-cup-2026/model-record.

+Can I run my own World Cup 2026 simulation?

Yes — the live simulator at /world-cup-2026/simulator lets you lock specific group winners and re-run the whole tournament under your assumed results. Every change recalibrates the champion probabilities instantly.

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