HUL · DEF · FPL 2026/27

Lucas Herrington — Defender, Hull City

Lucas Herrington costs £3.9m in FPL 2026/27, is a defender for Hull City, and the Onside model projects 8+ points across Herrington's next 6 fixtures. Owned by 0.5% of managers. Next fixture GW11: vs BHA — projected 1.3 xP.

Price

£3.9m

Total pts

Form

1.2

Owned

0.5%

GW11 · vs BHA

HUL

Herrington

Projected points

1.3 xP

£3.9m · 0.5% owned

Available

QUICK ANSWER

Is Herrington worth picking in FPL 2026/27?

Herrington is a defender for Hull City, priced at £3.9m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27, and Onside projects 8+ points over his next 6 gameweeks. Onside gives Herrington a 38% chance of starting Gameweek 11, from 6 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. Full verdict, ownership, fixture run and set-piece role below, updated live from the official FPL data.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVEHerrington 38% to start · Gameweek 11

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Season Summary

Herrington scored 0 goals and provided 0 assists with 0 clean sheets for Hull City in the 2026/27 season so far. Priced at £3.9m, Herrington has accumulated 10 total FPL points this season. Over the last 5 gameweeks, Herrington has averaged 1.0 points per game (form: 1.2). GW11: vs BHA (difficulty 4/5, 1.3 projected xP). Across the next 6 fixtures, Onside projects 8.8 total xP.

Premier League Stats

Defender · Season 26/27

Live

On the Pitch

3Starts · Starts

353Mins · Minutes

0Goals · Goals

0Assists · Assists

0Clean Sheets · Clean Sheets

Expected Stats

0.02xG · Expected Goals

0.05xA · Expected Assists

0.07xGI · Exp. Goal Involvement

Next gameweek prediction

GW 11

Not a captain

1.3xP next match

1.3 xP next gameweek — outside the top 59% of the game, so not an armband candidate.

vs (H)

BHA

Diff4

Sun 22 Nov, 14:00

Next 6 GWs total8.8 xP

How Gameweek 11 could go

Herrington projects 1.3 — but FPL points come in lumps

RETURN4%

6+ PTS

HAUL2%

10+ PTS

BLANK67%

2 OR FEWER

Chances from 3,000 simulated matches for this fixture, calibrated against three seasons of real outcomes, before any captain doubling.

Start probability · Onside model

Onside gives Herrington a 38% chance of starting Gameweek 11.

38%

UNLIKELY

Based on 6 gameweeks of 2026/27 team-sheet evidence. Model confidence 70%. This is the probability he is in the starting XI, not the probability he plays — a substitute appearance is not a start.

Next six — difficulty ramp

GW11

BHA (H)

GW12

CRY (A)

GW13

NFO (H)

GW14

BOU (A)

GW15

TOT (H)

GW16

MCI (A)

6-GW outlook

Projected xP

Last 10 GWs

Points trend

Herrington match-by-match Fantasy Premier League record 2026/27 — gameweek, opponent, minutes, goals and assists, points
GW	Opp	Min	G/A	Pts
10	ARS (A)	21'	0/0	1
9	IPS (H)	0'	0/0	0
8	BRE (H)	90'	0/0	4
7	FUL (A)	45'	0/0	0
6	EVE (H)	0'	0/0	0
5	NEW (A)	90'	0/0	1

How accurate have our Herrington projections been?

Every projection below was published on this site before the deadline it applies to, and is shown next to what Herrington actually scored. Too few graded gameweeks so far to average meaningfully on this player, so no average is claimed — the individual weeks are below, and the site-wide record across every player is on the accuracy page.

Onside projected points vs the official FPL projection vs actual score — Herrington, Fantasy Premier League 2026/27
GW	Onside	FPL	Actual	Mins	Closer
GW1	2.2	1.0	1	26	under 60 mins — not graded
GW2	2.7	1.0	1	31	under 60 mins — not graded
GW3	0.4	0.5	1	19	under 60 mins — not graded
GW4	0.5	0.7	1	31	under 60 mins — not graded
GW5	0.6	1.0	1	90	FPL
GW6	0.5	0.8	0	0	under 60 mins — not graded
GW7	1.0	0.7	0	45	under 60 mins — not graded
GW8	0.9	0.3	4	90	Onside
GW9	1.4	0.0	0	0	under 60 mins — not graded
GW10	1.1	1.0	1	21	under 60 mins — not graded

Rows under 60 minutes are shown but excluded from the averages, the same scope guard the site-wide graded record uses. The full dataset for every player is published as CSV under CC BY 4.0. Last graded 9 November 2026.

Season stats vs defenders

Percentile rank

Attack

Goals G
0
0
Assists A
0
0
Expected goals xG
23
0.02
Expected assists xA
28
0.05
Expected GI xGI
19
0.07

Defence

Clean sheets CS
0
0

Underlying

Minutes MIN
41
353
Starts STA
33
3
Bonus pts BPS
0
0
BPS total BPS·
29
27

Creativity / ICT

Threat THR
26
11
Creativity CRE
39
25
Influence INF
51
97
ICT index ICT
38
13.4

Live this gameweek

Before the deadline, check these

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Herrington start in Gameweek 11?

Onside gives Herrington a 38% chance of starting Gameweek 11, from 6 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. That is the probability he is named in the starting XI, not the probability he features — a substitute appearance is not a start.

Is Herrington worth captaining in GW11?

According to Onside's AI engine, Herrington is not recommended as a captain pick this week for GW11 with 1.3 projected points. 1.3 xP next gameweek — outside the top 59% of the game, so not an armband candidate.

How many goals has Herrington scored this season in FPL?

Herrington has scored 0 goals and provided 0 assists for Hull City in the 2026/27 FPL season so far, totalling 10 points.

Is Herrington fit to play?

Herrington is currently listed as fully available in FPL with no injury concerns recorded. Onside tracks status updates hourly — check back before each deadline.

Does Herrington take set pieces for Hull City?

Herrington is not currently listed as a regular set-piece taker for Hull City in Onside's curated data. This can change during the season — Onside updates set-piece roles weekly.

How much does Herrington cost in FPL?

Herrington currently costs £3.9m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27. With 10 total points this season, that is 2.6 points per million — moderate value for the price.

What are Herrington's projected points in FPL?

The Onside model projects 8.8 points for Herrington across the next 6 gameweeks including 1.3 points in GW11 vs BHA. Projections refresh after every played match.

Is Herrington worth it in FPL 26/27?

At £3.9m, the Onside model projects 8+ points for Herrington over the next 6 gameweeks — weigh that projection against alternatives at the same price before committing. Projections update after every match, so check again near the deadline.

What does Herrington's FPL fixture run look like?

Herrington has a tough upcoming schedule over the next 6 gameweeks. Onside projects 8.8 total expected points across this period. Consider this before transferring in.