QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur?

The Onside model makes Fulham the more likely winner of Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 20: Fulham 46%, draw 26%, Tottenham Hotspur 28%. The score pick is Fulham 21 Tottenham Hotspur, and the single most probable scoreline is 11. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

FUL goals down, TOT goals across

FULTOT 0TOT 1TOT 2TOT 3TOT 4TOT 5
FUL 05.9%5.7%5.3%2.7%1.0%0.3%
FUL 15.9%12.2%8.3%4.2%1.6%0.5%
FUL 25.6%8.5%6.5%3.3%1.2%0.4%
FUL 32.9%4.4%3.4%1.7%0.6%0.2%
FUL 41.1%1.7%1.3%0.7%0.3%0.1%
FUL 50.4%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (11); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.0%.

Wed 6 Jan · 20:00 UK · GW20 · model pl-dc-v2

Fulham v Tottenham Hotspur

Onside's model gives Fulham a 46% chance of beating Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 20, with 26% on the draw and 28% on an away win. The score prediction is Fulham 21 Tottenham Hotspur, from expected goals of 1.56 to 1.51. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.

Fulham
46%
Draw
26%
Tottenham Hotspur
28%
Model pick: 21 · most probable 11
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SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.561.51
★ MODE
11
12.2%
21
8.5%
12
8.3%
22
6.5%
00
5.9%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
59%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
63%

Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Fulham
Attack ranks #12 and defence #17 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.11 on goal rate.
Tottenham Hotspur
Attack ranks #9, defence #12. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.561.51.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).

All predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
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Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction — GW20 Score & Win Probability