Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Hull City?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
NFO goals down, HUL goals across
| NFO ↓ | HUL 0 | HUL 1 | HUL 2 | HUL 3 | HUL 4 | HUL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFO 0 | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| NFO 1 | 9.1% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| NFO 2 | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| NFO 3 | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| NFO 4 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| NFO 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.6%.
Nottingham Forest v Hull City
Onside's model gives Nottingham Forest a 46% chance of beating Hull City in Gameweek 20, with 29% on the draw and 25% on an away win. The score prediction is Nottingham Forest 1–0 Hull City, from expected goals of 1.52 to 1.15. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).