Can Croatia win the World Cup 2026?
LONG SHOT — significant upsets required. Onside's 2,000-run Monte Carlo gives Croatia a 3.1% champion probability — ranked #12 of 48 nations. Croatia is a second-tier contender (FIFA #11, 3 Premier League players in the squad).
Croatia's path to the final
Croatia's group fixtures
3 GROUP MATCHES · MODEL WIN PROBABILITY
Croatia vs the field
TOP CHAMPION-PROBABILITY RIVALS
Croatia's Premier League players
3 PL PLAYERS IN THE SQUAD
In one line
Croatia is a long shot to win the 2026 World Cup — Onside's AI model gives them 3.1% champion probability, ranking them #12 of 48 nations. They play in Group L and have 3 Premier League players in their squad. Their model probability to reach the knockout rounds is high (60.3% R16).
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