Can Uruguay win the World Cup 2026?
LONG SHOT — significant upsets required. Onside's 2,000-run Monte Carlo gives Uruguay a 1.3% champion probability — ranked #16 of 48 nations. Uruguay is a mid-tier outsider (FIFA #17, 2 Premier League players in the squad).
Uruguay's path to the final
Uruguay's group fixtures
3 GROUP MATCHES · MODEL WIN PROBABILITY
Uruguay vs the field
TOP CHAMPION-PROBABILITY RIVALS
Uruguay's Premier League players
2 PL PLAYERS IN THE SQUAD
In one line
Uruguay is a long shot to win the 2026 World Cup — Onside's AI model gives them 1.3% champion probability, ranking them #16 of 48 nations. They play in Group H and have 2 Premier League players in their squad. Their group-stage path is the main hurdle (53.3% R16).
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