Onside.
PREMIER LEAGUE 26/27
22DAYS TO KICK-OFF
The World Cup is done. The new season is already called — all 380 matches, the final table, the fantasy edge.
WHO WINS THE PREMIER LEAGUE →BEAT OUR AI
QUICK ANSWER

World Cup 2026 Quarter-finals predictions

Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo points to Spain (57.3%) and Argentina (42.7%) as the leading quarter-finals candidates. The quarter-finals run 9 – 11 July 2026. Full top-8 below — each call is graded after full time at /model-record.
See it live for your team on Onside →Updated moments ago
Analysis by the Onside model · ensemble ML, 0.86 MAEPublic track recordMethodologyUpdated 2026-07-31
★ QF PREDICTIONS · 10K MONTE CARLO · UPDATED HOURLY

World Cup 2026 Quarter-finals

Eight teams remain for the World Cup 2026 quarter-finals. Our model ranks each by champion probability — by this round, the sample is fully informed by the tournament so far.

8 TEAMS REMAINING·9 – 11 July 2026·FIRST KO Thu 9 Jul 22:00 BST
● TOP 8 QUARTER-FINALS CANDIDATES

The sides the model rates most likely

#1
57.3%
Spain
Champion prob
#2
42.7%
Argentina
Champion prob
#3
0.0%
France
Champion prob
#4
0.0%
England
Champion prob
#5
0.0%
Belgium
Champion prob
#6
0.0%
Morocco
Champion prob
#7
0.0%
Switzerland
Champion prob
#8
0.0%
Norway
Champion prob
● DEEPER
Full bracket predictions →Run the simulator →Champion shortlist →Knockout fixtures →Accuracy receipts →
AFTER THE WORLD CUP · YOUR FPL 26/27 EDGE

The same model that called the World Cup, pointed at your FPL season

Captain picks, differentials, price-change alerts and set-piece takers for FPL 2026/27 — graded in public every gameweek, same engine, same receipts. The tournament ends 19 July; your season starts here.

Who wins 2026/27 →10,000 season simulationsEvery match, called →Play against the AI from GW1Best FPL players 26/27 →Ranked by projected ptsSet-piece takers →Pens, FKs & cornersFixtures & FDR →The opening-six guideFPL Tips →70+ guides
★ Get the GW1 captain shortlist →
● QUARTER-FINALS FAQ

FAQ

+Which teams are most likely to reach the Quarter-finals at the World Cup 2026?

Per Onside's model, Spain, Argentina, France, England, Belgium are the most likely sides to be involved in the Quarter-finals. Full top 8 list with champion probability is above.

+When are the World Cup 2026 Quarter-finals?

The Quarter-finals run 9 – 11 July 2026. First kick-off is Thu 9 Jul 22:00 BST.

+Who is favourite to win the World Cup 2026?

Spain currently leads the model at 57.3% champion probability, with Argentina next at 42.7%. The Final is at MetLife Stadium on 19 July.

WC MATCHDAY BRIEF · ONE LIST, TWO SEASONS

Get the World Cup brief in your inbox — plus early FPL 2026/27 picks

Match-by-match predictions, captain picks for World Cup Fantasy, likely scorers, and the first FPL 2026/27 differentials to watch. Same engine that powers our Premier League tools, pointed at the world's biggest pre-season.

Weekly digest

Captain picks, transfer tips & differentials — every week.

One email per gameweek. Unsubscribe any time.

SAME ENGINE · POINTED AT FPL

Tracking the World Cup? Use the same engine for FPL 2026/27.

v5 engine · 51k+ OOS predictions · MAE 0.86. Captain picks, squad optimiser, AI Coach, set-piece intel — the production Premier League tools.

▶ TRY THE DEMOSEE PRICING →