Murillo
NFONott'm ForestDEFAvailable

Murillo Costa dos Santos

Defender · FPL ID 472
£5.5m
Price
19
Total pts
4.8
Form
1.9%
Owned

Murillo Costa dos Santos costs £5.5m in FPL 2026/27, is a defender for Nott'm Forest, and the Onside model projects 28+ points across Murillo's next 6 fixtures. Owned by 1.9% of managers. Next fixture GW5: vs COV — projected 4.8 xP.

Onside verdictStandout sub-£5.5m CB. Competes with Guéhi/Tarkowski in budget bracket.

QUICK ANSWER

Is Murillo worth picking in FPL 2026/27?

Murillo is a defender for Nott'm Forest, priced at £5.5m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27, and Onside projects 28+ points over his next 6 gameweeks. Onside gives Murillo a 96% chance of starting Gameweek 5, from 4 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. Full verdict, ownership, fixture run and set-piece role below, updated live from the official FPL data.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVEMurillo 96% to start · Gameweek 5

Season Summary

Murillo scored 0 goals and provided 1 assist with 1 clean sheet for Nott'm Forest in the 2026/27 season so far. Priced at £5.5m, Murillo has accumulated 19 total FPL points this season. Over the last 4 gameweeks, Murillo has averaged 4.8 points per game (form: 4.8). GW5: vs COV (difficulty 2/5, 4.8 projected xP). Across the next 6 fixtures, Onside projects 28.1 total xP.

Premier League Stats

Defender · Season 26/27

Live

On the Pitch

4Starts
359Mins
0Goals
1Assists
1Clean Sheets

Expected Stats

0.35xG
0.29xA
0.64xGI

Next gameweek prediction

GW 5
Strong pick
4.8xP next match

4.8 xP next gameweek — top 9% of the game, a strong captain option.

vs (H)
COV
COV
Diff2
Sat 19 Sept, 16:30
Next 6 GWs total28.1 xP
Start probability · Onside model

Onside gives Murillo a 96% chance of starting Gameweek 5.

96%
NAILED

Based on 4 gameweeks of 2026/27 team-sheet evidence. Model confidence 76%. This is the probability he is in the starting XI, not the probability he plays — a substitute appearance is not a start.

The 100-gameweek array

Murillo returns in 46 of 100 gameweeks at this projection (46%)

Each square is a gameweek at the engine’s current projection for Murillo. Acid squares are the weeks he returns — a goal, an assist, a clean-sheet-level score. The grey ones are the blanks nobody puts in the highlight reel.

The shape, not just the number: a high projection with many grey squares is a different bet from the same projection concentrated in acid.

ENGINE V2 · GW5 · AS OF 16 SEPT · ONSIDEARENA.COM
Next six — difficulty ramp
GW5
COV (H)
2
GW6
CRY (A)
3
GW7
ARS (H)
4
GW8
IPS (A)
2
GW9
BRE (A)
3
GW10
MCI (H)
4

6-GW outlook

Projected xP
4.8COVH · GW54.8CRYA · GW64.1ARSH · GW75.5IPSA · GW84.8BREA · GW94.1MCIH · GW10

Last 10 GWs

Points trend
Murillo match-by-match Fantasy Premier League record 2026/27 — gameweek, opponent, minutes, goals and assists, points
GWOppMinG/APts
4AVL (A)90'0/16
3TOT (H)89'0/08
2LIV (A)90'0/01
1LEE (H)90'0/04

How accurate have our Murillo projections been?

Every projection below was published on this site before the deadline it applies to, and is shown next to what Murillo actually scored. Across 4 graded gameweeks in which he played 60 minutes or more, Onside has been out by an average of 2.7 points and the official FPL projection by 3.3closer than FPL.

Onside projected points vs the official FPL projection vs actual score — Murillo, Fantasy Premier League 2026/27
GWOnsideFPLActualMinsCloser
GW13.22.5490Onside
GW22.12.5190Onside
GW32.42.0889Onside
GW42.51.7690Onside

Rows under 60 minutes are shown but excluded from the averages, the same scope guard the site-wide graded record uses. The full dataset for every player is published as CSV under CC BY 4.0. Last graded .

Season stats vs defenders

Percentile rank

Attack

  • Goals
    0
    0
  • Assists
    88
    1
  • Expected goals
    85
    0.35
  • Expected assists
    81
    0.29
  • Expected GI
    86
    0.64

Defence

  • Clean sheets
    54
    1

Underlying

  • Minutes
    77
    359
  • Starts
    61
    4
  • Bonus pts
    0
    0
  • BPS total
    81
    60

Creativity / ICT

  • Threat
    65
    18
  • Creativity
    74
    38
  • Influence
    86
    94
  • ICT index
    78
    15.1

Set-piece role · Nott'm Forest

Free kicksbackup

FPL official designation: #3 for direct free-kicks.

Frequently Asked Questions

Powered by Onside AI engine

Will Murillo start in Gameweek 5?

Onside gives Murillo a 96% chance of starting Gameweek 5, from 4 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. That is the probability he is named in the starting XI, not the probability he features — a substitute appearance is not a start.

Is Murillo worth captaining in GW5?

According to Onside's AI engine, Murillo is a strong captain option for GW5 with 4.8 projected points. 4.8 xP next gameweek — top 9% of the game, a strong captain option.

How many goals has Murillo scored this season in FPL?

Murillo has scored 0 goals and provided 1 assist for Nott'm Forest in the 2026/27 FPL season so far, totalling 19 points.

Is Murillo fit to play?

Murillo is currently listed as fully available in FPL with no injury concerns recorded. Onside tracks status updates hourly — check back before each deadline.

Does Murillo take set pieces for Nott'm Forest?

Yes. According to Onside's curated set-piece data, Murillo is Nott'm Forest's backup free-kick taker. Set-piece responsibility adds a meaningful premium to FPL projected points.

How much does Murillo cost in FPL?

Murillo currently costs £5.5m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27. With 19 total points this season, that is 3.5 points per million — moderate value for the price.

What are Murillo's projected points in FPL?

The Onside model projects 28.1 points for Murillo across the next 6 gameweeks including 4.8 points in GW5 vs COV. Projections refresh after every played match.

Is Murillo worth it in FPL 26/27?

At £5.5m, the Onside model projects 28+ points for Murillo over the next 6 gameweeks — weigh that projection against alternatives at the same price before committing. Projections update after every match, so check again near the deadline.

What does Murillo's FPL fixture run look like?

Murillo has a mixed fixture run over the next 6 gameweeks. Onside projects 28.1 total expected points across this period. Monitor week-by-week.

Compare with similar players

Head-to-head comparisons

Want Onside's full read?

See Murillo in your squad context.

Captain picks, transfer scenarios, set-piece intel and 6-GW xP against your real lineup — free to connect, no card needed.

Connect your team →