NFO · DEF · FPL 2026/27

Murillo Costa dos Santos — Defender, Nott'm Forest

Murillo Costa dos Santos costs £5.5m in FPL 2026/27, is a defender for Nott'm Forest, and the Onside model projects 16+ points across Murillo's next 6 fixtures. Owned by 2.1% of managers. Next fixture GW8: at IPS — projected 1.2 xP.

Onside verdictHas started every game at centre-back and is second on free kicks.

Price
£5.5m
Total pts
27
Form
2.0
Owned
2.1%
GW8 · at IPS
Murillo
NFO
Murillo
Projected points
1.2 xP
£5.5m · 2.1% owned
Available
QUICK ANSWER

Is Murillo worth picking in FPL 2026/27?

Murillo is a defender for Nott'm Forest, priced at £5.5m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27, and Onside projects 16+ points over his next 6 gameweeks. Onside gives Murillo a 98% chance of starting Gameweek 8, from 7 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. Full verdict, ownership, fixture run and set-piece role below, updated live from the official FPL data.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVEMurillo 98% to start · Gameweek 8

Season Summary

Murillo scored 0 goals and provided 1 assist with 1 clean sheet for Nott'm Forest in the 2026/27 season so far. Priced at £5.5m, Murillo has accumulated 27 total FPL points this season. Over the last 5 gameweeks, Murillo has averaged 4.4 points per game (form: 2.0). GW8: @ IPS (difficulty 2/5, 1.2 projected xP). Across the next 6 fixtures, Onside projects 16.2 total xP.

Premier League Stats

Defender · Season 26/27

Live

On the Pitch

7Starts
629Mins
0Goals
1Assists
1Clean Sheets

Expected Stats

0.92xG
0.56xA
1.48xGI

Next gameweek prediction

GW 8
Not a captain
1.2xP next match

1.2 xP next gameweek — outside the top 43% of the game, so not an armband candidate.

vs (A)
IPS
IPS
Diff2
Fri 23 Oct, 19:00
Next 6 GWs total16.2 xP
Start probability · Onside model

Onside gives Murillo a 98% chance of starting Gameweek 8.

98%
NAILED

Based on 7 gameweeks of 2026/27 team-sheet evidence. Model confidence 88%. This is the probability he is in the starting XI, not the probability he plays — a substitute appearance is not a start.

Next six — difficulty ramp
GW8
IPS (A)
2
GW9
BRE (A)
3
GW10
MCI (H)
4
GW11
BOU (A)
3
GW12
CHE (H)
4
GW13
HUL (A)
2

6-GW outlook

Projected xP
GW8 A vs IPS — diff 2, xP 1.21.2IPSA · GW8GW9 A vs BRE — diff 3, xP 3.13.1BREA · GW9GW10 H vs MCI — diff 4, xP 2.62.6MCIH · GW10GW11 A vs BOU — diff 3, xP 3.13.1BOUA · GW11GW12 H vs CHE — diff 4, xP 2.62.6CHEH · GW12GW13 A vs HUL — diff 2, xP 3.63.6HULA · GW13

Last 10 GWs

Points trend
GW1: 4 pts (0G 0A 90') vs LEEGW2: 1 pts (0G 0A 90') vs LIVGW3: 8 pts (0G 0A 89') vs TOTGW4: 6 pts (0G 1A 90') vs AVLGW5: 4 pts (0G 0A 90') vs COVGW6: 2 pts (0G 0A 90') vs CRYGW7: 2 pts (0G 0A 90') vs ARS
Murillo match-by-match Fantasy Premier League record 2026/27 — gameweek, opponent, minutes, goals and assists, points
GWOppMinG/APts
7ARS (H)90'0/02
6CRY (A)90'0/02
5COV (H)90'0/04
4AVL (A)90'0/16
3TOT (H)89'0/08
2LIV (A)90'0/01

How accurate have our Murillo projections been?

Every projection below was published on this site before the deadline it applies to, and is shown next to what Murillo actually scored. Across 7 graded gameweeks in which he played 60 minutes or more, Onside has been out by an average of 2.0 points and the official FPL projection by 2.5 — closer than FPL.

Onside projected points vs the official FPL projection vs actual score — Murillo, Fantasy Premier League 2026/27
GWOnsideFPLActualMinsCloser
GW13.22.5490Onside
GW22.12.5190Onside
GW32.42.0889Onside
GW42.51.7690Onside
GW55.04.8490FPL
GW63.33.8290Onside
GW73.13.3290Onside

Rows under 60 minutes are shown but excluded from the averages, the same scope guard the site-wide graded record uses. The full dataset for every player is published as CSV under CC BY 4.0. Last graded .

Season stats vs defenders

Percentile rank

Attack

  • Goals
    0
    0
  • Assists
    81
    1
  • Expected goals
    92
    0.92
  • Expected assists
    90
    0.56
  • Expected GI
    94
    1.48

Defence

  • Clean sheets
    46
    1

Underlying

  • Minutes
    86
    629
  • Starts
    76
    7
  • Bonus pts
    0
    0
  • BPS total
    82
    96

Creativity / ICT

  • Threat
    96
    98
  • Creativity
    89
    88
  • Influence
    92
    179
  • ICT index
    96
    36.5

Set-piece role · Nott'm Forest

Free kicksshared

FPL official designation: #2 for direct free-kicks.

Frequently Asked Questions

Powered by Onside AI engine

Will Murillo start in Gameweek 8?

Onside gives Murillo a 98% chance of starting Gameweek 8, from 7 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. That is the probability he is named in the starting XI, not the probability he features — a substitute appearance is not a start.

Is Murillo worth captaining in GW8?

According to Onside's AI engine, Murillo is not recommended as a captain pick this week for GW8 with 1.2 projected points. 1.2 xP next gameweek — outside the top 43% of the game, so not an armband candidate.

How many goals has Murillo scored this season in FPL?

Murillo has scored 0 goals and provided 1 assist for Nott'm Forest in the 2026/27 FPL season so far, totalling 27 points.

Is Murillo fit to play?

Murillo is currently listed as fully available in FPL with no injury concerns recorded. Onside tracks status updates hourly — check back before each deadline.

Does Murillo take set pieces for Nott'm Forest?

Yes. According to Onside's curated set-piece data, Murillo is Nott'm Forest's shared free-kick taker. Set-piece responsibility adds a meaningful premium to FPL projected points.

How much does Murillo cost in FPL?

Murillo currently costs £5.5m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27. With 27 total points this season, that is 4.9 points per million — moderate value for the price.

What are Murillo's projected points in FPL?

The Onside model projects 16.2 points for Murillo across the next 6 gameweeks including 1.2 points in GW8 away at IPS. Projections refresh after every played match.

Is Murillo worth it in FPL 26/27?

At £5.5m, the Onside model projects 16+ points for Murillo over the next 6 gameweeks — weigh that projection against alternatives at the same price before committing. Projections update after every match, so check again near the deadline.

What does Murillo's FPL fixture run look like?

Murillo has a mixed fixture run over the next 6 gameweeks. Onside projects 16.2 total expected points across this period. Monitor week-by-week.

Compare with similar players

Head-to-head comparisons

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