ARS · MID · FPL 2026/27

Bukayo Saka — Midfielder, Arsenal

Bukayo Saka costs £9.6m in FPL 2026/27, is a midfielder for Arsenal, and the Onside model projects 12+ points across Saka's next 6 fixtures. Owned by 15.9% of managers. Next fixture GW8: vs EVE — projected 2.4 xP.

Onside verdictArsenal’s top scorer and first on penalties. The strongest captaincy case outside Haaland in any week City’s fixture is hard.

Thigh injury - 50% chance of playing
Updated 21 Oct, 20:30
Price
£9.6m
Total pts
37
Form
2.5
Owned
15.9%
GW8 · vs EVE
Saka
ARS
Saka
Projected points
2.4 xP
£9.6m · 15.9% owned
Doubtful· 50% to play
QUICK ANSWER

Is Saka worth picking in FPL 2026/27?

Saka is a midfielder for Arsenal, priced at £9.6m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27, and Onside projects 12+ points over his next 6 gameweeks. Onside gives Saka a 50% chance of starting Gameweek 8, from 7 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. Full verdict, ownership, fixture run and set-piece role below, updated live from the official FPL data.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVESaka 50% to start · Gameweek 8

Season Summary

Saka scored 3 goals and provided 0 assists for Arsenal in the 2026/27 season so far. Priced at £9.6m, Saka has accumulated 37 total FPL points this season. Over the last 5 gameweeks, Saka has averaged 3.4 points per game (form: 2.5). GW8: vs EVE (difficulty 3/5, 2.4 projected xP). Across the next 6 fixtures, Onside projects 12.9 total xP.

Premier League Stats

Midfielder · Season 26/27

Live

On the Pitch

7Starts
596Mins
3Goals
0Assists

Expected Stats

3.63xG
1.20xA
4.83xGI

Next gameweek prediction

GW 8
Strong pick
2.4xP next match

2.4 xP next gameweek — top 20% of the game.

vs (H)
EVE
EVE
Diff3
Sat 24 Oct, 14:00
Next 6 GWs total12.9 xP
Start probability · Onside model

Onside gives Saka a 50% chance of starting Gameweek 8.

50%
ROTATION RISK

Based on 7 gameweeks of 2026/27 team-sheet evidence. Model confidence 70%. This is the probability he is in the starting XI, not the probability he plays — a substitute appearance is not a start.

The 100-gameweek array

Saka returns in 9 of 100 gameweeks at this projection (9%)

Each square is a gameweek at the engine’s current projection for Saka. Acid squares are the weeks he returns — a goal, an assist, a clean-sheet-level score. The grey ones are the blanks nobody puts in the highlight reel.

The shape, not just the number: a high projection with many grey squares is a different bet from the same projection concentrated in acid.

ENGINE V2 · GW8 · AS OF 22 OCT · ONSIDEARENA.COM
Next six — difficulty ramp
GW8
EVE (H)
3
GW9
LIV (A)
4
GW10
HUL (H)
2
GW11
NEW (A)
3
GW12
MCI (H)
4
GW13
BRE (A)
3

6-GW outlook

Projected xP
GW8 H vs EVE — diff 3, xP 2.42.4EVEH · GW8GW9 A vs LIV — diff 4, xP 1.81.8LIVA · GW9GW10 H vs HUL — diff 2, xP 2.52.5HULH · GW10GW11 A vs NEW — diff 3, xP 2.22.2NEWA · GW11GW12 H vs MCI — diff 4, xP 1.81.8MCIH · GW12GW13 A vs BRE — diff 3, xP 2.22.2BREA · GW13

Last 10 GWs

Points trend
GW1: 9 pts (1G 0A 67') vs COVGW2: 11 pts (1G 0A 90') vs AVLGW3: 2 pts (0G 0A 89') vs CHEGW4: 8 pts (1G 0A 90') vs SUNGW5: 2 pts (0G 0A 80') vs BHAGW6: 2 pts (0G 0A 90') vs LEEGW7: 3 pts (0G 0A 90') vs NFO
Saka match-by-match Fantasy Premier League record 2026/27 — gameweek, opponent, minutes, goals and assists, points
GWOppMinG/APts
7NFO (A)90'0/03
6LEE (H)90'0/02
5BHA (A)80'0/02
4SUN (A)90'1/08
3CHE (H)89'0/02
2AVL (A)90'1/011

How accurate have our Saka projections been?

Every projection below was published on this site before the deadline it applies to, and is shown next to what Saka actually scored. Across 7 graded gameweeks in which he played 60 minutes or more, Onside has been out by an average of 4.5 points and the official FPL projection by 4.0 — further out than FPL, on this player.

Onside projected points vs the official FPL projection vs actual score — Saka, Fantasy Premier League 2026/27
GWOnsideFPLActualMinsCloser
GW14.23.2967Onside
GW21.63.21190FPL
GW33.44.5289Onside
GW45.06.7890FPL
GW57.37.5280Onside
GW66.56.0290FPL
GW76.34.0390FPL

Rows under 60 minutes are shown but excluded from the averages, the same scope guard the site-wide graded record uses. The full dataset for every player is published as CSV under CC BY 4.0. Last graded .

Season stats vs midfielders

Percentile rank

Attack

  • Goals
    95
    3
  • Assists
    0
    0
  • Expected goals
    99
    3.63
  • Expected assists
    93
    1.20
  • Expected GI
    99
    4.83

Underlying

  • Minutes
    90
    596
  • Starts
    83
    7
  • Bonus pts
    91
    4
  • BPS total
    94
    162

Creativity / ICT

  • Threat
    100
    266
  • Creativity
    93
    181
  • Influence
    94
    182
  • ICT index
    99
    63.0

Set-piece role · Arsenal

Penaltiesprimary

FPL official designation: #1 for penalties.

Free kicksshared

FPL official designation: #2 for direct free-kicks.

Cornersshared

FPL official designation: #2 for corners.

Frequently Asked Questions

Powered by Onside AI engine

Will Saka start in Gameweek 8?

Onside gives Saka a 50% chance of starting Gameweek 8, from 7 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. That is the probability he is named in the starting XI, not the probability he features — a substitute appearance is not a start.

Is Saka worth captaining in GW8?

According to Onside's AI engine, Saka is a strong captain option for GW8 with 2.4 projected points. 2.4 xP next gameweek — top 20% of the game.

How many goals has Saka scored this season in FPL?

Saka has scored 3 goals and provided 0 assists for Arsenal in the 2026/27 FPL season so far, totalling 37 points.

Is Saka fit to play? What is their injury status?

Saka is currently doubtful (50% chance of playing next). Latest update: Thigh injury - 50% chance of playing Always check for team news before the FPL deadline.

Does Saka take set pieces for Arsenal?

Yes. According to Onside's curated set-piece data, Saka is Arsenal's primary penalty taker and shared free-kick taker and shared corner taker. Set-piece responsibility adds a meaningful premium to FPL projected points.

How much does Saka cost in FPL?

Saka currently costs £9.6m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27. With 37 total points this season, that is 3.9 points per million — moderate value for the price.

What are Saka's projected points in FPL?

The Onside model projects 12.9 points for Saka across the next 6 gameweeks including 2.4 points in GW8 vs EVE. Projections refresh after every played match.

Is Saka worth it in FPL 26/27?

At £9.6m, the Onside model projects 12+ points for Saka over the next 6 gameweeks — weigh that projection against alternatives at the same price before committing. Projections update after every match, so check again near the deadline.

What does Saka's FPL fixture run look like?

Saka has a mixed fixture run over the next 6 gameweeks. Onside projects 12.9 total expected points across this period. Monitor week-by-week.

Compare with similar players

Head-to-head comparisons

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