COV · FWD · FPL 2026/27

Ellis Simms — Forward, Coventry City

Ellis Simms costs £4.9m in FPL 2026/27, is a forward for Coventry City, and the Onside model projects 10+ points across Simms' next 6 fixtures. Owned by 0.7% of managers. Next fixture GW8: vs FUL — projected 2.6 xP.

Price

£4.9m

Total pts

Form

3.0

Owned

0.7%

GW8 · vs FUL

COV

Simms

Projected points

2.6 xP

£4.9m · 0.7% owned

Available

QUICK ANSWER

Is Simms worth picking in FPL 2026/27?

Simms is a forward for Coventry City, priced at £4.9m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27, and Onside projects 10+ points over his next 6 gameweeks. Onside gives Simms a 18% chance of starting Gameweek 8, from 4 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. Full verdict, ownership, fixture run and set-piece role below, updated live from the official FPL data.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVESimms 18% to start · Gameweek 8

BUILD YOUR FPL SQUAD FREE →Updated moments ago

Season Summary

Simms scored 1 goal and provided 0 assists for Coventry City in the 2026/27 season so far. Priced at £4.9m, Simms has accumulated 10 total FPL points this season. Over the last 5 gameweeks, Simms has averaged 1.6 points per game (form: 3.0). GW8: vs FUL (difficulty 2/5, 2.6 projected xP). Across the next 6 fixtures, Onside projects 10.5 total xP.

Premier League Stats

Forward · Season 26/27

Live

On the Pitch

1Starts · Starts

116Mins · Minutes

1Goals · Goals

0Assists · Assists

Expected Stats

0.40xG · Expected Goals

0.01xA · Expected Assists

0.41xGI · Exp. Goal Involvement

Next gameweek prediction

GW 8

Differential

2.6xP next match

2.6 xP at 1% ownership — top 18% of the game, and few rivals have him.

vs (H)

FUL

Diff2

Sat 24 Oct, 14:00

Next 6 GWs total10.5 xP

Start probability · Onside model

Onside gives Simms a 18% chance of starting Gameweek 8.

18%

UNLIKELY

Based on 4 gameweeks of 2026/27 team-sheet evidence. Model confidence 62%. This is the probability he is in the starting XI, not the probability he plays — a substitute appearance is not a start.

The 100-gameweek array

Simms returns in 12 of 100 gameweeks at this projection (12%)

Each square is a gameweek at the engine’s current projection for Simms. Acid squares are the weeks he returns — a goal, an assist, a clean-sheet-level score. The grey ones are the blanks nobody puts in the highlight reel.

The shape, not just the number: a high projection with many grey squares is a different bet from the same projection concentrated in acid.

ENGINE V2 · GW8 · AS OF 22 OCT · ONSIDEARENA.COM

Next six — difficulty ramp

GW8

FUL (H)

GW9

SUN (H)

GW10

EVE (A)

GW11

CRY (H)

GW12

LEE (A)

GW13

IPS (H)

6-GW outlook

Projected xP

Last 10 GWs

Points trend

Simms match-by-match Fantasy Premier League record 2026/27 — gameweek, opponent, minutes, goals and assists, points
GW	Opp	Min	G/A	Pts
7	TOT (A)	0'	0/0	0
6	NEW (H)	12'	1/0	6
5	NFO (A)	16'	0/0	1
4	BHA (H)	0'	0/0	0
3	MCI (A)	19'	0/0	1
2	HUL (H)	0'	0/0	0

How accurate have our Simms projections been?

Every projection below was published on this site before the deadline it applies to, and is shown next to what Simms actually scored. Too few graded gameweeks so far to average meaningfully on this player, so no average is claimed — the individual weeks are below, and the site-wide record across every player is on the accuracy page.

Onside projected points vs the official FPL projection vs actual score — Simms, Fantasy Premier League 2026/27
GW	Onside	FPL	Actual	Mins	Closer
GW1	1.5	1.4	2	69	Onside
GW2	1.5	1.4	0	0	under 60 mins — not graded
GW3	1.1	1.0	1	19	under 60 mins — not graded
GW4	0.8	0.7	0	0	under 60 mins — not graded
GW5	1.0	0.8	1	16	under 60 mins — not graded
GW6	0.9	0.6	6	12	under 60 mins — not graded
GW7	0.8	0.3	0	0	under 60 mins — not graded

Rows under 60 minutes are shown but excluded from the averages, the same scope guard the site-wide graded record uses. The full dataset for every player is published as CSV under CC BY 4.0. Last graded 20 October 2026.

Season stats vs forwards

Percentile rank

Attack

Goals G
51
1
Assists A
0
0
Expected goals xG
35
0.40
Expected assists xA
20
0.01
Expected GI xGI
33
0.41

Underlying

Minutes MIN
45
116
Starts STA
37
1
Bonus pts BPS
63
1
BPS total BPS·
45
42

Creativity / ICT

Threat THR
53
54
Creativity CRE
39
23
Influence INF
51
41
ICT index ICT
51
11.8

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Simms start in Gameweek 8?

Onside gives Simms a 18% chance of starting Gameweek 8, from 4 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. That is the probability he is named in the starting XI, not the probability he features — a substitute appearance is not a start.

Is Simms worth captaining in GW8?

According to Onside's AI engine, Simms is a differential captain option (low-ownership) for GW8 with 2.6 projected points. 2.6 xP at 1% ownership — top 18% of the game, and few rivals have him.

How many goals has Simms scored this season in FPL?

Simms has scored 1 goal and provided 0 assists for Coventry City in the 2026/27 FPL season so far, totalling 10 points.

Is Simms fit to play?

Simms is currently listed as fully available in FPL with no injury concerns recorded. Onside tracks status updates hourly — check back before each deadline.

Does Simms take set pieces for Coventry City?

Simms is not currently listed as a regular set-piece taker for Coventry City in Onside's curated data. This can change during the season — Onside updates set-piece roles weekly.

How much does Simms cost in FPL?

Simms currently costs £4.9m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27. With 10 total points this season, that is 2.0 points per million — moderate value for the price.

What are Simms's projected points in FPL?

The Onside model projects 10.5 points for Simms across the next 6 gameweeks including 2.6 points in GW8 vs FUL. Projections refresh after every played match.

Is Simms worth it in FPL 26/27?

At £4.9m, the Onside model projects 10+ points for Simms over the next 6 gameweeks — weigh that projection against alternatives at the same price before committing. Projections update after every match, so check again near the deadline.

What does Simms's FPL fixture run look like?

Simms has a very favourable run of fixtures over the next 6 gameweeks. Onside projects 10.5 total expected points across this period. This is a good time to hold or buy.