Who will win Brighton vs Sunderland?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
BHA goals down, SUN goals across
| BHA ↓ | SUN 0 | SUN 1 | SUN 2 | SUN 3 | SUN 4 | SUN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BHA 0 | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| BHA 1 | 9.9% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| BHA 2 | 10.7% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| BHA 3 | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| BHA 4 | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| BHA 5 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.5%.
Brighton v Sunderland
Onside's model gives Brighton a 53% chance of beating Sunderland in Gameweek 35, with 26% on the draw and 21% on an away win. The score prediction is Brighton 1–0 Sunderland, from expected goals of 1.93 to 0.92. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).