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Who will win Fulham vs Ipswich Town?

The Onside model makes Fulham the more likely winner of Fulham vs Ipswich Town in Gameweek 35: Fulham 52%, draw 25%, Ipswich Town 23%. The score pick is Fulham 21 Ipswich Town, and the single most probable scoreline is 11. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

FUL goals down, IPS goals across

FULIPS 0IPS 1IPS 2IPS 3IPS 4IPS 5
FUL 06.0%4.4%3.3%1.3%0.4%0.1%
FUL 17.6%11.8%6.2%2.5%0.7%0.2%
FUL 28.2%9.8%5.8%2.3%0.7%0.2%
FUL 35.1%6.0%3.6%1.4%0.4%0.1%
FUL 42.4%2.8%1.7%0.7%0.2%0.0%
FUL 50.9%1.0%0.6%0.2%0.1%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (11); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.3%.

Sat 8 May · 15:00 UK · GW35 · model pl-dc-v2

Fulham v Ipswich Town

Onside's model gives Fulham a 52% chance of beating Ipswich Town in Gameweek 35, with 25% on the draw and 23% on an away win. The score prediction is Fulham 21 Ipswich Town, from expected goals of 1.86 to 1.18. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.

Fulham
52%
Draw
25%
Ipswich Town
23%
Model pick: 21 · most probable 11
OUR RECORD — MODEL RECEIPTS →
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locks Sat 14:00
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.861.18
★ MODE
11
11.8%
21
9.8%
20
8.2%
10
7.6%
12
6.2%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
59%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
60%

Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Fulham
Attack ranks #12 and defence #17 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.11 on goal rate.
Ipswich Town
Attack ranks #16, defence #20. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.861.18.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).

All predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
More GW35 predictions
Fulham vs Ipswich Town Prediction — GW35 Score & Win Probability