Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
TOT goals down, CHE goals across
| TOT ↓ | CHE 0 | CHE 1 | CHE 2 | CHE 3 | CHE 4 | CHE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOT 0 | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| TOT 1 | 4.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| TOT 2 | 4.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| TOT 3 | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| TOT 4 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| TOT 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.5%.
Tottenham Hotspur v Chelsea
Onside's model gives Tottenham Hotspur a 34% chance of beating Chelsea in Gameweek 35, with 25% on the draw and 41% on an away win. The score prediction is Tottenham Hotspur 1–2 Chelsea, from expected goals of 1.57 to 1.76. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
- Bournemouth vs Man Utd prediction
- Brentford vs Aston Villa prediction
- Brighton vs Sunderland prediction
- Everton vs Hull City prediction
- Fulham vs Ipswich Town prediction
- Leeds vs Arsenal prediction
- Man City vs Liverpool prediction
- Newcastle vs Coventry City prediction
- Nott'm Forest vs Crystal Palace prediction