Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
NFO goals down, CRY goals across
| NFO ↓ | CRY 0 | CRY 1 | CRY 2 | CRY 3 | CRY 4 | CRY 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFO 0 | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| NFO 1 | 9.7% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| NFO 2 | 7.6% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| NFO 3 | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| NFO 4 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| NFO 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.4%.
Nottingham Forest v Crystal Palace
Onside's model gives Nottingham Forest a 41% chance of beating Crystal Palace in Gameweek 35, with 30% on the draw and 29% on an away win. The score prediction is Nottingham Forest 1–0 Crystal Palace, from expected goals of 1.36 to 1.14. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).