QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Crystal Palace vs Brentford?

The Onside model makes Brentford the more likely winner of Crystal Palace vs Brentford in Gameweek 25: Crystal Palace 34%, draw 28%, Brentford 38%. The score pick is Crystal Palace 12 Brentford, and the single most probable scoreline is 11. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

CRY goals down, BRE goals across

CRYBRE 0BRE 1BRE 2BRE 3BRE 4BRE 5
CRY 07.7%7.8%6.9%3.4%1.2%0.4%
CRY 16.7%13.4%8.8%4.4%1.6%0.5%
CRY 25.2%7.7%5.7%2.8%1.0%0.3%
CRY 32.2%3.3%2.5%1.2%0.4%0.1%
CRY 40.7%1.1%0.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
CRY 50.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (11); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.6%.

Wed 10 Feb · 20:00 UK · GW25 · model pl-dc-v2

Crystal Palace v Brentford

Onside's model gives Crystal Palace a 34% chance of beating Brentford in Gameweek 25, with 28% on the draw and 38% on an away win. The score prediction is Crystal Palace 12 Brentford, from expected goals of 1.29 to 1.48. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.

Crystal Palace
34%
Draw
28%
Brentford
38%
Model pick: 12 · most probable 11
OUR RECORD — MODEL RECEIPTS →
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locks Wed 20:00
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.291.48
★ MODE
11
13.4%
12
8.8%
01
7.8%
21
7.7%
00
7.7%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
52%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
57%

Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Crystal Palace
Attack ranks #17 and defence #16 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.11 on goal rate.
Brentford
Attack ranks #8, defence #8. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.291.48.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).

All predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
More GW25 predictions
Crystal Palace vs Brentford Prediction — GW25 Score & Win Probability