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Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham?

The Onside model makes Tottenham Hotspur the more likely winner of Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham in Gameweek 13: Tottenham Hotspur 42%, draw 26%, Fulham 32%. The score pick is Tottenham Hotspur 21 Fulham, and the single most probable scoreline is 11. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

TOT goals down, FUL goals across

TOTFUL 0FUL 1FUL 2FUL 3FUL 4FUL 5
TOT 05.6%4.2%3.4%1.4%0.5%0.1%
TOT 16.9%11.5%6.5%2.7%0.9%0.2%
TOT 27.7%9.6%6.1%2.5%0.8%0.2%
TOT 34.8%6.0%3.8%1.6%0.5%0.1%
TOT 42.3%2.8%1.8%0.7%0.2%0.1%
TOT 50.8%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (11); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.4%.

Wed 2 Dec · 20:00 UK · GW13 · model pl-dc-v2

Tottenham Hotspur v Fulham

Onside's model gives Tottenham Hotspur a 42% chance of beating Fulham in Gameweek 13, with 26% on the draw and 32% on an away win. The score prediction is Tottenham Hotspur 21 Fulham, from expected goals of 1.88 to 1.26. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.

Tottenham Hotspur
42%
Draw
26%
Fulham
32%
Model pick: 21 · most probable 11
OUR RECORD — MODEL RECEIPTS →
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locks Wed 20:00
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.881.26
★ MODE
11
11.5%
21
9.6%
20
7.7%
10
6.9%
12
6.5%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
61%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
62%

Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Tottenham Hotspur
Attack ranks #9 and defence #12 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.11 on goal rate.
Fulham
Attack ranks #12, defence #17. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.881.26.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).

All predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
More GW13 predictions
Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham Prediction — GW13 Score & Win Probability