CHAMPION PROBABILITY · WC 2026 · UPDATED HOURLY

Can Colombia win the World Cup 2026?

ONSIDE AI · VERDICT

LONG SHOT — significant upsets required. Onside's 2,000-run Monte Carlo gives Colombia a 2.8% champion probability — ranked #14 of 48 nations. Colombia is a second-tier contender (FIFA #13, 2 Premier League players in the squad).

🇨🇴ColombiaGroup KFIFA #13CONMEBOL

Colombia's path to the final

REACH R16
55.3%
REACH QF
29.1%
REACH SF
13.6%
REACH FINAL
5.7%
CHAMPION
2.8%

Colombia's group fixtures

3 GROUP MATCHES · MODEL WIN PROBABILITY

Colombia vs the field

TOP CHAMPION-PROBABILITY RIVALS

Colombia's Premier League players

2 PL PLAYERS IN THE SQUAD

Daniel MuñozJefferson Lerma

In one line

Colombia is a long shot to win the 2026 World Cup — Onside's AI model gives them 2.8% champion probability, ranking them #14 of 48 nations. They play in Group K and have 2 Premier League players in their squad. Their group-stage path is the main hurdle (55.3% R16).

Full champion-probability board →Colombia team pageUpset watchlist →Build your own bracket →
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