CHAMPION PROBABILITY · WC 2026 · UPDATED HOURLY

Can Tunisia win the World Cup 2026?

ONSIDE AI · VERDICT

UNLIKELY — tournament far too open. Onside's 2,000-run Monte Carlo gives Tunisia a 0.0% champion probability — ranked #39 of 48 nations. Tunisia is a long-shot (FIFA #44, 1 Premier League players in the squad).

🇹🇳TunisiaGroup FFIFA #44CAF

Tunisia's path to the final

REACH R16
7.2%
REACH QF
1.5%
REACH SF
0.3%
REACH FINAL
0.1%
CHAMPION
0.0%

Tunisia's group fixtures

3 GROUP MATCHES · MODEL WIN PROBABILITY

Tunisia vs the field

TOP CHAMPION-PROBABILITY RIVALS

Tunisia's Premier League players

1 PL PLAYERS IN THE SQUAD

Hannibal Mejbri

In one line

Tunisia is a long shot to win the 2026 World Cup — Onside's AI model gives them 0.0% champion probability, ranking them #39 of 48 nations. They play in Group F and have 1 Premier League players in their squad. Group-stage survival itself is uncertain (7.2% R16).

Full champion-probability board →Tunisia team pageUpset watchlist →Build your own bracket →
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