FPL 2026/27 · GAMEWEEK 18

GW18 DIFFERENTIALS

the picks the field doesn't own

<15% OWNEDBUY / STRONG BUY ONLYDEADLINE

Top pick: Tavernier (BOU) at just 6.8% ownership, projecting 4.7 xP.

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What are the best FPL differentials for Gameweek 18?

The top low-owned pick for Gameweek 18 is Tavernier, owned by 6.8% of the game and projected 4.7 points. Barry (8.4%), Barnes (5.9%), Thiago (9.2%) complete the shortlist. A differential here means under 15% ownership, ranked by expected points rather than by how few people own it.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVETavernier 6.8% owned · GW18
01

THE PICKS · BEST PROJECTION UNDER 15% OWNED

TOP DIFFERENTIAL
Marcus Tavernier
BOU · MID · £6.1m
4.7 xPBUY2.0–9.0
6.8%
OWNED

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 4.7 pts, ceiling 9.

Thierno Barry
EVE · FWD · £5.7m
4.3 xPBUY2.0–8.0
8.4%
OWNED

Consider buying — EVE are scoring freely. Avg 4.3 pts, ceiling 8.

Harvey Barnes
NEW · MID · £6.1m
4.1 xPBUY2.0–8.0
5.9%
OWNED

Consider buying — NEW are scoring freely. Avg 4.1 pts, ceiling 8.

Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues
BRE · FWD · £7.8m
3.8 xPBUY1.0–7.0
9.2%
OWNED

Consider buying — BRE are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 7.

James Trafford
LEE · GKP · £5.0m
3.8 xPBUY1.0–8.0
5.5%
OWNED

Consider buying — LEE are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 8.

THE BOARD · ALL 5 COMPARED · OWNERSHIP, PRICE, PROJECTION
Onside differential board for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 18 — every pick under 15% ownership, with club, position, price, ownership, projected points and the projection range
#PlayerClubPosPriceOwnedxPRange
1TavernierBOUMID£6.1m6.8%4.72.0–9.0
2BarryEVEFWD£5.7m8.4%4.32.0–8.0
3BarnesNEWMID£6.1m5.9%4.12.0–8.0
4ThiagoBREFWD£7.8m9.2%3.81.0–7.0
5TraffordLEEGKP£5.0m5.5%3.81.0–8.0
02

THE TAG · ALL THREE MUST HOLD

<15%
OWNERSHIP
BUY+
ACTION RATING
xP ✓
UNDERLYING METRICS
03

PAIR WITH A RELIABLE ARMBAND

FULL CAPTAIN ANALYSIS →

GW18 DIFFERENTIALS · COMMON QUESTIONS

Who are the best FPL differentials for GW18?

Onside's top GW18 differential is Tavernier (BOU, 6.8% owned, 4.7 projected xP). Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 4.7 pts, ceiling 9. Other differentials: Barry (8.4% owned), Barnes (5.9% owned), Thiago (9.2% owned).

What counts as a differential in FPL?

In FPL, a differential is a player owned by fewer than 10–15% of managers. Owning a differential who scores big gives a huge rank boost because the majority of managers miss the points. Onside's DIFFERENTIAL tag identifies players with ownership below 15% who also carry a BUY or STRONG_BUY action rating from the v5 engine — meaning the engine thinks they're genuinely undervalued, not just low-owned for bad reasons.

Is it worth taking a hit for a differential in GW18?

A hit costs 4 points, so the player coming in has to outscore the one going out by more than 4 across the weeks you keep him — about 1 point a week over a month, or all 4 in a single week if you only hold him for one. Differentials are best brought in for free, on a wildcard or to fix a genuine hole in the squad, not as a speculative hit. Check the GW18 full guide for the highest-projected buys.

When is the GW18 FPL deadline?

The Fantasy Premier League GW18 deadline is Tue 29 Dec, 18:00 UK time. Make sure your differential selections and transfers are confirmed before this time.

When to play a differential

Differentials are highest value when you're chasing rank mid-season or in mini-leagues with points gaps. A 15% owned player who scores or assists gives you a 6–9 point swing vs the field compared to a 50%+ template player hitting the same return. Use these picks when your template is strong — not to replace reliable assets, but to add upside beside them.

ONSIDE v5 · DIFFERENTIAL = <15% OWNED + BUY/STRONG BUY · FPL API · REFRESHED HOURLY