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MCI · DEF · FPL 2026/27

Nico O'Reilly — Defender, Man City

Nico O'Reilly costs £6.3m in FPL 2026/27, is a defender for Man City, and the Onside model projects 16+ points across O'Reilly's next 6 fixtures. Owned by 9.1% of managers. Next fixture GW8: at AVL — projected 1.5 xP.
Back injury - 75% chance of playing
Updated 19 Oct, 15:30
Price
£6.3m
Total pts
13
Form
3.5
Owned
9.1%
GW8 · at AVL
O'Reilly
MCI
O'Reilly
Projected points
1.5 xP
£6.3m · 9.1% owned
Doubtful· 75% to play
QUICK ANSWER

Is O'Reilly worth picking in FPL 2026/27?

O'Reilly is a defender for Man City, priced at £6.3m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27, and Onside projects 16+ points over his next 6 gameweeks. Onside gives O'Reilly a 69% chance of starting Gameweek 8, from 6 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. Full verdict, ownership, fixture run and set-piece role below, updated live from the official FPL data.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVEO'Reilly 69% to start · Gameweek 8
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Season Summary

O'Reilly scored 0 goals and provided 0 assists with 1 clean sheet for Man City in the 2026/27 season so far. Priced at £6.3m, O'Reilly has accumulated 13 total FPL points this season. Over the last 5 gameweeks, O'Reilly has averaged 1.8 points per game (form: 3.5). GW8: @ AVL (difficulty 3/5, 1.5 projected xP). Across the next 6 fixtures, Onside projects 16.1 total xP.

Premier League Stats

Defender · Season 26/27

Live

On the Pitch

4Starts
288Mins
0Goals
0Assists
1Clean Sheets

Expected Stats

1.05xG
0.51xA
1.56xGI

Next gameweek prediction

GW 8
Not a captain
1.5xP next match

1.5 xP next gameweek — outside the top 35% of the game, so not an armband candidate.

vs (A)
AVL
AVL
Diff3
Sat 24 Oct, 11:30
Next 6 GWs total16.1 xP
Start probability · Onside model

Onside gives O'Reilly a 69% chance of starting Gameweek 8.

69%
LIKELY

Based on 6 gameweeks of 2026/27 team-sheet evidence. Model confidence 70%. This is the probability he is in the starting XI, not the probability he plays — a substitute appearance is not a start.

Next six — difficulty ramp
GW8
AVL (A)
3
GW9
BHA (H)
3
GW10
NFO (A)
3
GW11
FUL (H)
2
GW12
ARS (A)
5
GW13
LEE (H)
3

6-GW outlook

Projected xP
GW8 A vs AVL — diff 3, xP 1.51.5AVLA · GW8GW9 H vs BHA — diff 3, xP 3.03.0BHAH · GW9GW10 A vs NFO — diff 3, xP 3.03.0NFOA · GW10GW11 H vs FUL — diff 2, xP 3.53.5FULH · GW11GW12 A vs ARS — diff 5, xP 2.12.1ARSA · GW12GW13 H vs LEE — diff 3, xP 3.03.0LEEH · GW13

Last 10 GWs

Points trend
GW1: 2 pts (0G 0A 62') vs BOUGW2: 2 pts (0G 0A 88') vs CRYGW3: 0 pts (0G 0A 0') vs COVGW4: 1 pts (0G 0A 8') vs MUNGW5: 1 pts (0G 0A 5') vs SUNGW6: 5 pts (0G 0A 65') vs LIVGW7: 2 pts (0G 0A 60') vs IPS
O'Reilly match-by-match Fantasy Premier League record 2026/27 — gameweek, opponent, minutes, goals and assists, points
GWOppMinG/APts
7IPS (H)60'0/02
6LIV (A)65'0/05
5SUN (H)5'0/01
4MUN (A)8'0/01
3COV (H)0'0/00
2CRY (A)88'0/02

How accurate have our O'Reilly projections been?

Every projection below was published on this site before the deadline it applies to, and is shown next to what O'Reilly actually scored. Across 4 graded gameweeks in which he played 60 minutes or more, Onside has been out by an average of 1.6 points and the official FPL projection by 1.9 — closer than FPL.

Onside projected points vs the official FPL projection vs actual score — O'Reilly, Fantasy Premier League 2026/27
GWOnsideFPLActualMinsCloser
GW13.93.1262FPL
GW22.43.1288Onside
GW35.12.000under 60 mins — not graded
GW42.51.318under 60 mins — not graded
GW52.71.015under 60 mins — not graded
GW61.61.0565Onside
GW72.90.5260Onside

Rows under 60 minutes are shown but excluded from the averages, the same scope guard the site-wide graded record uses. The full dataset for every player is published as CSV under CC BY 4.0. Last graded .

Season stats vs defenders

Percentile rank

Attack

  • Goals
    0
    0
  • Assists
    0
    0
  • Expected goals
    95
    1.05
  • Expected assists
    86
    0.51
  • Expected GI
    95
    1.56

Defence

  • Clean sheets
    46
    1

Underlying

  • Minutes
    43
    288
  • Starts
    45
    4
  • Bonus pts
    0
    0
  • BPS total
    52
    43

Creativity / ICT

  • Threat
    77
    48
  • Creativity
    75
    60
  • Influence
    23
    23
  • ICT index
    51
    13.1

Frequently Asked Questions

Powered by Onside AI engine

Will O'Reilly start in Gameweek 8?

Onside gives O'Reilly a 69% chance of starting Gameweek 8, from 6 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. That is the probability he is named in the starting XI, not the probability he features — a substitute appearance is not a start.

Is O'Reilly worth captaining in GW8?

According to Onside's AI engine, O'Reilly is not recommended as a captain pick this week for GW8 with 1.5 projected points. 1.5 xP next gameweek — outside the top 35% of the game, so not an armband candidate.

How many goals has O'Reilly scored this season in FPL?

O'Reilly has scored 0 goals and provided 0 assists for Man City in the 2026/27 FPL season so far, totalling 13 points.

Is O'Reilly fit to play? What is their injury status?

O'Reilly is currently doubtful (75% chance of playing next). Latest update: Back injury - 75% chance of playing Always check for team news before the FPL deadline.

Does O'Reilly take set pieces for Man City?

O'Reilly is not currently listed as a regular set-piece taker for Man City in Onside's curated data. This can change during the season — Onside updates set-piece roles weekly.

How much does O'Reilly cost in FPL?

O'Reilly currently costs £6.3m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27. With 13 total points this season, that is 2.1 points per million — moderate value for the price.

What are O'Reilly's projected points in FPL?

The Onside model projects 16.1 points for O'Reilly across the next 6 gameweeks including 1.5 points in GW8 away at AVL. Projections refresh after every played match.

Is O'Reilly worth it in FPL 26/27?

At £6.3m, the Onside model projects 16+ points for O'Reilly over the next 6 gameweeks — weigh that projection against alternatives at the same price before committing. Projections update after every match, so check again near the deadline.

What does O'Reilly's FPL fixture run look like?

O'Reilly has a mixed fixture run over the next 6 gameweeks. Onside projects 16.1 total expected points across this period. Monitor week-by-week.

Compare with similar players

Head-to-head comparisons

O'Reilly vs Haaland →O'Reilly vs Gvardiol →
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